Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 19, underpinned by persistent high-pressure conditions and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. These conditions align with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, which shows average highs near 26°C with only rare dips below 23°C. The dry-season pattern and urban heat island amplification reinforce the likelihood of temperatures at or above 25°C, accounting for the market’s heavy weighting toward that range. Traders will watch the final model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or steering winds that could affect peak readings at Benito Juárez International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 19 de maio?
25°C or higher 90%
23°C 5.1%
24°C 5%
21°C 1.8%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
84%
25°C or higher 90%
23°C 5.1%
24°C 5%
21°C 1.8%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXCurrent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 19, underpinned by persistent high-pressure conditions and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. These conditions align with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, which shows average highs near 26°C with only rare dips below 23°C. The dry-season pattern and urban heat island amplification reinforce the likelihood of temperatures at or above 25°C, accounting for the market’s heavy weighting toward that range. Traders will watch the final model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or steering winds that could affect peak readings at Benito Juárez International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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