Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a subtropical ridge maintaining daytime highs near 31–33°C in Taipei today, with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33°C reflecting model consensus on limited cloud cover and light winds that allow strong solar heating. The slight edge for 32°C stems from historical mid-May climatology, where urban heat island effects and afternoon sea-breeze suppression frequently push the Songshan Airport maximum into that narrow band. Variability in the exact peak depends on the timing of any developing Meiyu frontal moisture, which could shave a degree or two if afternoon convection arrives earlier than projected. Traders are weighing these short-term atmospheric details against the station’s verified 24-hour maximum, with new observational updates expected by early evening to clarify resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei em 18 de maio?
32°C 31%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C or higher 14.2%
$15,641 Vol.
$15,641 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
31%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
14%
32°C 31%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C or higher 14.2%
$15,641 Vol.
$15,641 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
31%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a subtropical ridge maintaining daytime highs near 31–33°C in Taipei today, with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33°C reflecting model consensus on limited cloud cover and light winds that allow strong solar heating. The slight edge for 32°C stems from historical mid-May climatology, where urban heat island effects and afternoon sea-breeze suppression frequently push the Songshan Airport maximum into that narrow band. Variability in the exact peak depends on the timing of any developing Meiyu frontal moisture, which could shave a degree or two if afternoon convection arrives earlier than projected. Traders are weighing these short-term atmospheric details against the station’s verified 24-hour maximum, with new observational updates expected by early evening to clarify resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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