**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 28 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 28 de agosto?
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,449 Vol.
$5,449 Vol.
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,449 Vol.
$5,449 Vol.
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
$220 Vol.
No
23°C
$115 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,400 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$283 Vol.
No
26°C
$465 Vol.
No
27°C
$397 Vol.
No
28°C
$595 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,337 Vol.
No
30°C
$383 Vol.
No
31°C
$135 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$120 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$5,449Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,449Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions