Republicans currently hold 26 governorships entering the 2026 cycle, with 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties. Term limits have created numerous open seats, including Democratic-held positions in states Donald Trump carried in 2024 such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, alongside Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont. Recent polling and forecaster shifts highlight tight contests in battlegrounds like Alaska, Nevada, and Iowa, where local issues such as agriculture, affordability, and state-specific policies are competing with national trends. The closely matched market probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors reflect this balanced exposure, with separation likely hinging on turnout in competitive districts, candidate performance in open-seat primaries, and any late-cycle momentum in key states.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos governadores republicanos após as eleições intercalares de 2026?
Quantos governadores republicanos após as eleições intercalares de 2026?
22–23 28%
24–25 24%
<22 21%
26–27 16%
$695,280 Vol.
$695,280 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<22
21%
22–23
28%
24–25
24%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 28%
24–25 24%
<22 21%
26–27 16%
$695,280 Vol.
$695,280 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<22
$50,084 Vol.
21%
22–23
$9,908 Vol.
28%
24–25
$34,477 Vol.
24%
26–27
$18,241 Vol.
16%
28–29
$558,213 Vol.
5%
30–31
$8,608 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,749 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships entering the 2026 cycle, with 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties. Term limits have created numerous open seats, including Democratic-held positions in states Donald Trump carried in 2024 such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, alongside Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont. Recent polling and forecaster shifts highlight tight contests in battlegrounds like Alaska, Nevada, and Iowa, where local issues such as agriculture, affordability, and state-specific policies are competing with national trends. The closely matched market probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors reflect this balanced exposure, with separation likely hinging on turnout in competitive districts, candidate performance in open-seat primaries, and any late-cycle momentum in key states.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$695,280Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships entering the 2026 cycle, with 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties. Term limits have created numerous open seats, including Democratic-held positions in states Donald Trump carried in 2024 such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, alongside Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont. Recent polling and forecaster shifts highlight tight contests in battlegrounds like Alaska, Nevada, and Iowa, where local issues such as agriculture, affordability, and state-specific policies are competing with national trends. The closely matched market probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors reflect this balanced exposure, with separation likely hinging on turnout in competitive districts, candidate performance in open-seat primaries, and any late-cycle momentum in key states.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$695,280Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships entering the 2026 cycle, with 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties. Term limits have created numerous open seats, including Democratic-held positions in states Donald Trump carried in 2024 such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, alongside Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont. Recent polling and forecaster shifts highlight tight contests in battlegrounds like Alaska, Nevada, and Iowa, where local issues such as agriculture, affordability, and state-specific policies are competing with national trends. The closely matched market probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors reflect this balanced exposure, with separation likely hinging on turnout in competitive districts, candidate performance in open-seat primaries, and any late-cycle momentum in key states.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O Partido Democrata terá mais governos estaduais após as eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
63%
Sim
Deputados republicanos em exercício não vencerão entre quatro e seis eleições de nomeação no ciclo de 2026?
96%
Sim
O Partido Republicano terá menos de 190 cadeiras na Câmara após as eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
23%
Sim
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Frequently Asked Questions