Current partisan balance stands at 26 Republican governors to 24 Democratic ones, with 36 state races scheduled for November 2026. The distribution of contests—roughly even between parties, including multiple Democratic-held seats in states carried by Republicans in the prior presidential cycle—combined with 21 open seats from term limits and retirements, sustains uncertainty over net shifts. Early candidate filings, limited polling in battlegrounds such as Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and the typical midterm environment for the party holding the White House keep projected outcomes clustered around modest Republican losses. Primary nominations, fundraising trends, and any shifts in state-level approval ratings or national conditions over the coming months could widen the range by clarifying gains or holds in open or vulnerable seats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado24–25 30%
22–23 30%
26–27 19%
<22 18%
$683,522 Vol.
$683,522 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
18%
22–23
30%
24–25
30%
26–27
19%
28–29
4%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
24–25 30%
22–23 30%
26–27 19%
<22 18%
$683,522 Vol.
$683,522 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
$47,107 Vol.
18%
22–23
$8,476 Vol.
30%
24–25
$31,719 Vol.
30%
26–27
$16,992 Vol.
19%
28–29
$557,206 Vol.
4%
30–31
$7,584 Vol.
1%
32+
$14,438 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Current partisan balance stands at 26 Republican governors to 24 Democratic ones, with 36 state races scheduled for November 2026. The distribution of contests—roughly even between parties, including multiple Democratic-held seats in states carried by Republicans in the prior presidential cycle—combined with 21 open seats from term limits and retirements, sustains uncertainty over net shifts. Early candidate filings, limited polling in battlegrounds such as Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and the typical midterm environment for the party holding the White House keep projected outcomes clustered around modest Republican losses. Primary nominations, fundraising trends, and any shifts in state-level approval ratings or national conditions over the coming months could widen the range by clarifying gains or holds in open or vulnerable seats.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$683,522Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Current partisan balance stands at 26 Republican governors to 24 Democratic ones, with 36 state races scheduled for November 2026. The distribution of contests—roughly even between parties, including multiple Democratic-held seats in states carried by Republicans in the prior presidential cycle—combined with 21 open seats from term limits and retirements, sustains uncertainty over net shifts. Early candidate filings, limited polling in battlegrounds such as Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and the typical midterm environment for the party holding the White House keep projected outcomes clustered around modest Republican losses. Primary nominations, fundraising trends, and any shifts in state-level approval ratings or national conditions over the coming months could widen the range by clarifying gains or holds in open or vulnerable seats.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$683,522Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Current partisan balance stands at 26 Republican governors to 24 Democratic ones, with 36 state races scheduled for November 2026. The distribution of contests—roughly even between parties, including multiple Democratic-held seats in states carried by Republicans in the prior presidential cycle—combined with 21 open seats from term limits and retirements, sustains uncertainty over net shifts. Early candidate filings, limited polling in battlegrounds such as Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and the typical midterm environment for the party holding the White House keep projected outcomes clustered around modest Republican losses. Primary nominations, fundraising trends, and any shifts in state-level approval ratings or national conditions over the coming months could widen the range by clarifying gains or holds in open or vulnerable seats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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