KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

100-110k 100.0%

<80k <1%

80-90k <1%

90-100k <1%

$51,302 Vol.

19 mai 2026

<80k

$5,330 Vol.

80-90k

$4,342 Vol.

90-100k

$3,247 Vol.

100-110k

$15,845 Vol.

Yes

110-120k

$7,064 Vol.

120k+

$15,474 Vol.

100-110k 100.0%

<80k <1%

80-90k <1%

90-100k <1%

$51,302 Vol.

19 mai 2026

<80k

$5,330 Vol.

80-90k

$4,342 Vol.

90-100k

$3,247 Vol.

100-110k

$15,845 Vol.

Yes

110-120k

$7,064 Vol.

120k+

$15,474 Vol.

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026 This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100-110k" at 100%, followed by "<80k" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout" has generated $51.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout" is "100-110k" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<80k" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $51.3K traded on “KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "100-110k" in the "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "100-110k" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

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Frequently Asked Questions

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