Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance points to clear or mostly clear overnight conditions in Paris on September 10, 2026, favoring strong radiational cooling under light winds and high pressure near 1020 hPa. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 10–11 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 8–9 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of any thin high cloud or slight wind shift that could limit cooling by 1–2 °C, while historical September climatology (average low ~12 °C) underscores how current dry, stable air mass is pulling probabilities lower. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance expected later today will clarify whether the floor settles at 8 °C or edges toward 7 °C or below.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 10 de setembro?
9°C 37%
8°C 33%
7°C ou menos 17%
10°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
7°C ou menos
17%
8°C
33%
9°C
37%
10°C
14%
11°C
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C ou mais
3%
9°C 37%
8°C 33%
7°C ou menos 17%
10°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
7°C ou menos
$300 Vol.
17%
8°C
$682 Vol.
33%
9°C
$997 Vol.
37%
10°C
$264 Vol.
14%
11°C
$231 Vol.
5%
12°C
$188 Vol.
5%
13°C
$381 Vol.
3%
14°C
$142 Vol.
1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
3%
16°C
$85 Vol.
1%
17°C ou mais
$25 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance points to clear or mostly clear overnight conditions in Paris on September 10, 2026, favoring strong radiational cooling under light winds and high pressure near 1020 hPa. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 10–11 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 8–9 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of any thin high cloud or slight wind shift that could limit cooling by 1–2 °C, while historical September climatology (average low ~12 °C) underscores how current dry, stable air mass is pulling probabilities lower. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance expected later today will clarify whether the floor settles at 8 °C or edges toward 7 °C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,321Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance points to clear or mostly clear overnight conditions in Paris on September 10, 2026, favoring strong radiational cooling under light winds and high pressure near 1020 hPa. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 10–11 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 8–9 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of any thin high cloud or slight wind shift that could limit cooling by 1–2 °C, while historical September climatology (average low ~12 °C) underscores how current dry, stable air mass is pulling probabilities lower. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance expected later today will clarify whether the floor settles at 8 °C or edges toward 7 °C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,321Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance points to clear or mostly clear overnight conditions in Paris on September 10, 2026, favoring strong radiational cooling under light winds and high pressure near 1020 hPa. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 10–11 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 8–9 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of any thin high cloud or slight wind shift that could limit cooling by 1–2 °C, while historical September climatology (average low ~12 °C) underscores how current dry, stable air mass is pulling probabilities lower. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance expected later today will clarify whether the floor settles at 8 °C or edges toward 7 °C or below.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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