**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and variable model guidance on overnight radiative cooling are the main drivers behind the closely matched market odds for Singapore’s lowest temperature on September 10.** Official outlooks note dry-to-fair weather with minimums typically above 27 °C, yet detailed model runs show early-morning values potentially dipping to 24–26 °C under increased cloud cover or localized showers, while other guidance keeps readings near 27–28 °C. This divergence—tied to humidity levels, wind shifts, and the balance between daytime heating and nocturnal heat loss—explains the spread across bins from 21 °C or below through 27 °C. Historical September normals place overnight lows around 25–27 °C, so traders are pricing the modest but real chance of below-average cooling. Fresh model updates and any revised Meteorological Service Singapore briefing expected before midnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Singapura a 10 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 78%
26°C 43%
27°C 40%
25°C 19%
21°C ou menos
78%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
19%
26°C
28%
27°C
33%
28°C
16%
29°C
10%
30°C
14%
31°C ou mais
10%
21°C ou menos 78%
26°C 43%
27°C 40%
25°C 19%
21°C ou menos
78%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
19%
26°C
28%
27°C
33%
28°C
16%
29°C
10%
30°C
14%
31°C ou mais
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and variable model guidance on overnight radiative cooling are the main drivers behind the closely matched market odds for Singapore’s lowest temperature on September 10.** Official outlooks note dry-to-fair weather with minimums typically above 27 °C, yet detailed model runs show early-morning values potentially dipping to 24–26 °C under increased cloud cover or localized showers, while other guidance keeps readings near 27–28 °C. This divergence—tied to humidity levels, wind shifts, and the balance between daytime heating and nocturnal heat loss—explains the spread across bins from 21 °C or below through 27 °C. Historical September normals place overnight lows around 25–27 °C, so traders are pricing the modest but real chance of below-average cooling. Fresh model updates and any revised Meteorological Service Singapore briefing expected before midnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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