Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies tracking western Pacific conditions show Taipei's overnight temperatures stabilizing near 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and light easterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and moisture typically prevent dips below the mid-20s Celsius. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects these verified inputs and the narrow resolution window remaining on September 14. Clearer skies or a sharper model shift toward greater nocturnal cooling could still allow a lower reading, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Taipei em 14 de setembro?
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
$584 Vol.
$584 Vol.
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
$584 Vol.
$584 Vol.
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies tracking western Pacific conditions show Taipei's overnight temperatures stabilizing near 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and light easterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and moisture typically prevent dips below the mid-20s Celsius. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects these verified inputs and the narrow resolution window remaining on September 14. Clearer skies or a sharper model shift toward greater nocturnal cooling could still allow a lower reading, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions