Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at D+11 and historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points. The district's northeastern and central Massachusetts electorate, including areas like Lowell and Lawrence, has produced safe Democratic outcomes in recent cycles, reinforced by the absence of a well-funded Republican challenger ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the lack of recent developments that would narrow the gap. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health crisis affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMA-03 House Election Winner
MA-03 House Election Winner
$23,147 Vol.
$23,147 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$23,147 Vol.
$23,147 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$11,830 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$11,317 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at D+11 and historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points. The district's northeastern and central Massachusetts electorate, including areas like Lowell and Lawrence, has produced safe Democratic outcomes in recent cycles, reinforced by the absence of a well-funded Republican challenger ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the lack of recent developments that would narrow the gap. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health crisis affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,147Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at D+11 and historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points. The district's northeastern and central Massachusetts electorate, including areas like Lowell and Lawrence, has produced safe Democratic outcomes in recent cycles, reinforced by the absence of a well-funded Republican challenger ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the lack of recent developments that would narrow the gap. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health crisis affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,147Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at D+11 and historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points. The district's northeastern and central Massachusetts electorate, including areas like Lowell and Lawrence, has produced safe Democratic outcomes in recent cycles, reinforced by the absence of a well-funded Republican challenger ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the lack of recent developments that would narrow the gap. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health crisis affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions