Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for the open New Hampshire Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin in the low 30s that aligns with the dominant market pricing. Pre-primary polling consistently showed Pappas ahead by 20–50 points, supported by endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, along with a fundraising advantage exceeding $15 million. Manzur drew support from progressive voters but failed to narrow the gap in the final weeks. Vote certification and minor remaining ballots are unlikely to shift the outcome outside the 30–35 percent range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPappas 30–35% 98.4%
Pappas 35–40% 2.8%
Pappas 20–25% 2.6%
Pappas 15–20% 2.6%
$6,161 Vol.
$6,161 Vol.
8 set 2026
Pappas 40%+
2%
Pappas 35–40%
3%
Pappas 30–35%
98%
Pappas 25–30%
2%
Pappas 20–25%
3%
Pappas 15–20%
3%
Pappas 10–15%
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
3%
Pappas 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 5%+
<1%
Pappas 30–35% 98.4%
Pappas 35–40% 2.8%
Pappas 20–25% 2.6%
Pappas 15–20% 2.6%
$6,161 Vol.
$6,161 Vol.
8 set 2026
Pappas 40%+
$1,739 Vol.
2%
Pappas 35–40%
$305 Vol.
3%
Pappas 30–35%
$470 Vol.
98%
Pappas 25–30%
$359 Vol.
2%
Pappas 20–25%
$671 Vol.
3%
Pappas 15–20%
$787 Vol.
3%
Pappas 10–15%
$411 Vol.
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
$384 Vol.
3%
Pappas 0–5%
$422 Vol.
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
$363 Vol.
<1%
Manzur 5%+
$250 Vol.
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for the open New Hampshire Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin in the low 30s that aligns with the dominant market pricing. Pre-primary polling consistently showed Pappas ahead by 20–50 points, supported by endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, along with a fundraising advantage exceeding $15 million. Manzur drew support from progressive voters but failed to narrow the gap in the final weeks. Vote certification and minor remaining ballots are unlikely to shift the outcome outside the 30–35 percent range.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Volume
$6,161Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for the open New Hampshire Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin in the low 30s that aligns with the dominant market pricing. Pre-primary polling consistently showed Pappas ahead by 20–50 points, supported by endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, along with a fundraising advantage exceeding $15 million. Manzur drew support from progressive voters but failed to narrow the gap in the final weeks. Vote certification and minor remaining ballots are unlikely to shift the outcome outside the 30–35 percent range.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Volume
$6,161Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for the open New Hampshire Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin in the low 30s that aligns with the dominant market pricing. Pre-primary polling consistently showed Pappas ahead by 20–50 points, supported by endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, along with a fundraising advantage exceeding $15 million. Manzur drew support from progressive voters but failed to narrow the gap in the final weeks. Vote certification and minor remaining ballots are unlikely to shift the outcome outside the 30–35 percent range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Sim
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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions