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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Novo México

icon for Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Novo México
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Novo México

Deb Haaland 96%

Sam Bregman 9%

Ken Miyagishima <1%

Polymarket

$26,951 Vol.

Deb Haaland 96%

Sam Bregman 9%

Ken Miyagishima <1%

Polymarket

$26,951 Vol.

Deb Haaland

$11,283 Vol.

96%

Sam Bregman

$12,431 Vol.

9%

Ken Miyagishima

$3,236 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Deb Haaland's commanding 92% trader consensus in the New Mexico Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from her dominant position in the latest April polling, leading Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman 52%-30% among likely voters per the Albuquerque Journal survey, bolstered by a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.7 million and key endorsements including the National Education Association-New Mexico. Her national profile as former U.S. Interior Secretary and prior congressional service from the state provides strong name recognition in the open primary race ahead of the June 2 contest, where early voting begins soon. While former Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima trails at minimal odds after switching to an independent bid, Bregman's path hinges on consolidating undecideds through debates or crime-focused messaging; late scandals, health issues, or turnout surprises could still narrow Haaland's lead in this closely watched nomination battle.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$26,951
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Deb Haaland's commanding 92% trader consensus in the New Mexico Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from her dominant position in the latest April polling, leading Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman 52%-30% among likely voters per the Albuquerque Journal survey, bolstered by a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.7 million and key endorsements including the National Education Association-New Mexico. Her national profile as former U.S. Interior Secretary and prior congressional service from the state provides strong name recognition in the open primary race ahead of the June 2 contest, where early voting begins soon. While former Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima trails at minimal odds after switching to an independent bid, Bregman's path hinges on consolidating undecideds through debates or crime-focused messaging; late scandals, health issues, or turnout surprises could still narrow Haaland's lead in this closely watched nomination battle.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$26,951
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Novo México" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Deb Haaland" at 96%, followed by "Sam Bregman" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Novo México" has generated $27K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Novo México," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Novo México" is "Deb Haaland" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sam Bregman" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Novo México" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.