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Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

icon for Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas
Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$73,110,807 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$73,110,807 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$898,452 Vol.

23%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$708,125 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$558,564 Vol.

11%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$527,984 Vol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,208,421 Vol.

5%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,158,930 Vol.

5%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,023,029 Vol.

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,243,700 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,368,522 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$843,039 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,306,716 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,482,650 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$901,522 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$741,808 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,376,549 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,272,181 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,099,927 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,643,064 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$756,994 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,735,170 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,201,431 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,593,499 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,853,838 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,568,183 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,136,291 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,171,826 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,074,525 Vol.

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,838,517 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,591,006 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,376,374 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,713,960 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,083,136 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,302,681 Vol.

1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$2,538,532 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,411,303 Vol.

1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$3,804,724 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented field of candidates keeps the 2027 French presidential race tightly contested in trader consensus, with Jordan Bardella edging ahead at 22.5 percent amid National Rally's strong recent electoral showings. Édouard Philippe's launch of a center-right Horizons campaign has positioned him as the clearest alternative at 19.5 percent, though his support has narrowed against rivals like Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's 10.5 percent reflects persistent left-wing backing, while Marine Le Pen's lower share stems from her ongoing embezzlement appeal, scheduled for July 2026, which could bar her and elevate Bardella further. This multipolar dynamic, driven by Macron's term limits and post-2024 legislative instability, leaves room for shifts from party primaries, coalition realignments, or late legal rulings before the April vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$73,110,807
Data de Término
30 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented field of candidates keeps the 2027 French presidential race tightly contested in trader consensus, with Jordan Bardella edging ahead at 22.5 percent amid National Rally's strong recent electoral showings. Édouard Philippe's launch of a center-right Horizons campaign has positioned him as the clearest alternative at 19.5 percent, though his support has narrowed against rivals like Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's 10.5 percent reflects persistent left-wing backing, while Marine Le Pen's lower share stems from her ongoing embezzlement appeal, scheduled for July 2026, which could bar her and elevate Bardella further. This multipolar dynamic, driven by Macron's term limits and post-2024 legislative instability, leaves room for shifts from party primaries, coalition realignments, or late legal rulings before the April vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$73,110,807
Data de Término
30 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 23%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" has generated $73.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is "Jordan Bardella" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.