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Eleições·Gronelândia

O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?

icon for O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?
Eleições·Gronelândia

O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?

Mette Frederiksen 74%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 8.4%

Troels Lund Poulsen 7.9%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$8,678,029 Vol.

Mette Frederiksen 74%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 8.4%

Troels Lund Poulsen 7.9%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$8,678,029 Vol.

icon for Mette Frederiksen

Mette Frederiksen

$1,541,464 Vol.

74%

icon for Lars Løkke Rasmussen

Lars Løkke Rasmussen

$2,114,078 Vol.

8%

icon for Troels Lund Poulsen

Troels Lund Poulsen

$1,238,228 Vol.

8%

icon for Alex Vanopslagh

Alex Vanopslagh

$720,223 Vol.

1%

icon for Martin Lidegaard

Martin Lidegaard

$70,991 Vol.

<1%

icon for Morten Messerschmidt

Morten Messerschmidt

$2,133,250 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mona Juul

Mona Juul

$152,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lars Boje Mathiesen

Lars Boje Mathiesen

$446,242 Vol.

<1%

icon for Inger Støjberg

Inger Støjberg

$45,439 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pia Olsen Dyhr

Pia Olsen Dyhr

$141,372 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pelle Dragsted

Pelle Dragsted

$74,005 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denmark’s March 2026 parliamentary election left the Social Democrats as the largest party yet without a majority, prompting extended coalition talks that collapsed after seven weeks. On May 9, King Frederik X tasked Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen with forming a center-right government excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates, elevating his standing while Lars Løkke Rasmussen of the Moderates retains influence as a potential kingmaker. Traders assign Mette Frederiksen the highest probability due to her party’s seat plurality, her strong personal popularity after resisting U.S. pressure on Greenland, and the possibility that negotiations could still return to a red-bloc or cross-bloc arrangement. Ongoing talks and any resolution within the current two-week window remain the primary variables that could shift these implied probabilities.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,678,029
Data de Término
24 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denmark’s March 2026 parliamentary election left the Social Democrats as the largest party yet without a majority, prompting extended coalition talks that collapsed after seven weeks. On May 9, King Frederik X tasked Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen with forming a center-right government excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates, elevating his standing while Lars Løkke Rasmussen of the Moderates retains influence as a potential kingmaker. Traders assign Mette Frederiksen the highest probability due to her party’s seat plurality, her strong personal popularity after resisting U.S. pressure on Greenland, and the possibility that negotiations could still return to a red-bloc or cross-bloc arrangement. Ongoing talks and any resolution within the current two-week window remain the primary variables that could shift these implied probabilities.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,678,029
Data de Término
24 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mette Frederiksen" at 74%, followed by "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" has generated $8.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" is "Mette Frederiksen" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.