Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured the party's nomination in Oregon's 4th congressional district primary with over 75% of the vote against challengers, while Republican Monique DeSpain advanced unopposed in substance after her primary win. The district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with Hoyle's 2024 reelection margin and substantial fundraising lead plus independent expenditures, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national midterm shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually elevated Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOR-04 Vencedor da eleição da casa
OR-04 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$21,730 Vol.
$21,730 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$21,730 Vol.
$21,730 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$14,759 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$6,972 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured the party's nomination in Oregon's 4th congressional district primary with over 75% of the vote against challengers, while Republican Monique DeSpain advanced unopposed in substance after her primary win. The district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with Hoyle's 2024 reelection margin and substantial fundraising lead plus independent expenditures, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national midterm shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually elevated Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$21,730Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured the party's nomination in Oregon's 4th congressional district primary with over 75% of the vote against challengers, while Republican Monique DeSpain advanced unopposed in substance after her primary win. The district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with Hoyle's 2024 reelection margin and substantial fundraising lead plus independent expenditures, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national midterm shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually elevated Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,730Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured the party's nomination in Oregon's 4th congressional district primary with over 75% of the vote against challengers, while Republican Monique DeSpain advanced unopposed in substance after her primary win. The district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with Hoyle's 2024 reelection margin and substantial fundraising lead plus independent expenditures, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national midterm shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually elevated Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions