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Política·Primárias

Partidos que avançam das primárias do governador da Califórnia?

icon for Partidos que avançam das primárias do governador da Califórnia?
Política·Primárias

Partidos que avançam das primárias do governador da Califórnia?

Dem-Rep 73%

Dem-Dem 21%

Rep-Rep 7.5%

Polymarket

$72,165 Vol.

Dem-Rep 73%

Dem-Dem 21%

Rep-Rep 7.5%

Polymarket

$72,165 Vol.

icon for Dem-Rep

Dem-Rep

$30,405 Vol.

73%

icon for Dem-Dem

Dem-Dem

$30,012 Vol.

21%

icon for Rep-Rep

Rep-Rep

$11,747 Vol.

8%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polling shows Democrat Xavier Becerra pulling ahead in the fragmented field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while Republican Steve Hilton consolidates support following a key endorsement. This dynamic keeps a Democrat-Republican pairing as the leading outcome under the state's open primary rules, where the top two advance regardless of party. Multiple Democratic candidates continue splitting the party's vote, reducing the chance of two Democrats advancing, though that scenario remains viable if late consolidation occurs. Republican vote concentration behind Hilton has lowered the odds of a Republican-Republican outcome. The short timeline to election day limits further shifts absent major late developments.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.

In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$72,165
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polling shows Democrat Xavier Becerra pulling ahead in the fragmented field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while Republican Steve Hilton consolidates support following a key endorsement. This dynamic keeps a Democrat-Republican pairing as the leading outcome under the state's open primary rules, where the top two advance regardless of party. Multiple Democratic candidates continue splitting the party's vote, reducing the chance of two Democrats advancing, though that scenario remains viable if late consolidation occurs. Republican vote concentration behind Hilton has lowered the odds of a Republican-Republican outcome. The short timeline to election day limits further shifts absent major late developments.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.

In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$72,165
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Partidos que avançam das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dem-Rep" at 73%, followed by "Dem-Dem" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Partidos que avançam das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" has generated $72.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Partidos que avançam das primárias do governador da Califórnia?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Partidos que avançam das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" is "Dem-Rep" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dem-Dem" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Partidos que avançam das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.