South Africa's annual inflation for 2026 has seen trader consensus cluster tightly around 4.1-4.7%, reflecting the South African Reserve Bank's May 2026 forecast of a 4.4% average alongside June's 5.0% year-over-year print—the highest since 2024—driven by a 34.3% surge in fuel prices amid global energy shocks. Core inflation reached 4.1%, signaling broader pressures from housing, utilities, and services, while food costs remained subdued. Upcoming July CPI data, due shortly, and potential rand volatility or oil price shifts represent key swing factors that could tilt the full-year average within or outside the current 4.4% SARB baseline, consistent with the market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Anual da África do Sul 2026
Inflação Anual da África do Sul 2026
4,1-4,4% 29.6%
4,4-4,7% 22.1%
3,8-4,1% 15.0%
4,7-5,0% 9.2%
$39,694 Vol.
$39,694 Vol.
20 jan 2027
<2,6%
<1%
2,6-2,9%
<1%
2,9-3,2%
5%
3,2-3,5%
3%
3,5-3,8%
4%
3,8-4,1%
15%
4,1-4,4%
30%
4,4-4,7%
22%
4,7-5,0%
9%
>5,0%
9%
4,1-4,4% 29.6%
4,4-4,7% 22.1%
3,8-4,1% 15.0%
4,7-5,0% 9.2%
$39,694 Vol.
$39,694 Vol.
20 jan 2027
<2,6%
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
2,6-2,9%
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
2,9-3,2%
$1,564 Vol.
5%
3,2-3,5%
$1,245 Vol.
3%
3,5-3,8%
$1,798 Vol.
4%
3,8-4,1%
$2,975 Vol.
15%
4,1-4,4%
$2,590 Vol.
30%
4,4-4,7%
$14,940 Vol.
22%
4,7-5,0%
$3,272 Vol.
9%
>5,0%
$8,236 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's annual inflation for 2026 has seen trader consensus cluster tightly around 4.1-4.7%, reflecting the South African Reserve Bank's May 2026 forecast of a 4.4% average alongside June's 5.0% year-over-year print—the highest since 2024—driven by a 34.3% surge in fuel prices amid global energy shocks. Core inflation reached 4.1%, signaling broader pressures from housing, utilities, and services, while food costs remained subdued. Upcoming July CPI data, due shortly, and potential rand volatility or oil price shifts represent key swing factors that could tilt the full-year average within or outside the current 4.4% SARB baseline, consistent with the market-implied odds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Mercado Aberto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$39,694Data de Término
20 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's annual inflation for 2026 has seen trader consensus cluster tightly around 4.1-4.7%, reflecting the South African Reserve Bank's May 2026 forecast of a 4.4% average alongside June's 5.0% year-over-year print—the highest since 2024—driven by a 34.3% surge in fuel prices amid global energy shocks. Core inflation reached 4.1%, signaling broader pressures from housing, utilities, and services, while food costs remained subdued. Upcoming July CPI data, due shortly, and potential rand volatility or oil price shifts represent key swing factors that could tilt the full-year average within or outside the current 4.4% SARB baseline, consistent with the market-implied odds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volume
$39,694Data de Término
20 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa's annual inflation for 2026 has seen trader consensus cluster tightly around 4.1-4.7%, reflecting the South African Reserve Bank's May 2026 forecast of a 4.4% average alongside June's 5.0% year-over-year print—the highest since 2024—driven by a 34.3% surge in fuel prices amid global energy shocks. Core inflation reached 4.1%, signaling broader pressures from housing, utilities, and services, while food costs remained subdued. Upcoming July CPI data, due shortly, and potential rand volatility or oil price shifts represent key swing factors that could tilt the full-year average within or outside the current 4.4% SARB baseline, consistent with the market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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