The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% month-over-month from July’s 55.2 and below economist expectations near 54.5–55. This reading, driven by broad deterioration in both current conditions (51.8) and expectations (50.6), reflects heightened inflation concerns—with one-year expectations rising to 4.3%—amid elevated price pressures affecting lower-income and older households. The decline ended two months of gains and occurred across demographic and political groups. With the final August release scheduled for August 28, trader-implied probabilities cluster around 49.0–54.9 as the market prices in limited revisions to the preliminary figure and ongoing sensitivity to inflation and labor-market data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado49,0–51,9 42%
52,0–54,9 30%
<49,0 10.4%
55,0–57,9 8%
$19,311 Vol.
$19,311 Vol.
28 ago 2026
<49,0
9%
49,0–51,9
42%
52,0–54,9
30%
55,0–57,9
8%
58,0–60,9
4%
61,0–63,9
5%
64,0+
4%
49,0–51,9 42%
52,0–54,9 30%
<49,0 10.4%
55,0–57,9 8%
$19,311 Vol.
$19,311 Vol.
28 ago 2026
<49,0
$898 Vol.
9%
49,0–51,9
$2,007 Vol.
42%
52,0–54,9
$10,541 Vol.
30%
55,0–57,9
$3,578 Vol.
8%
58,0–60,9
$1,046 Vol.
4%
61,0–63,9
$563 Vol.
5%
64,0+
$679 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% month-over-month from July’s 55.2 and below economist expectations near 54.5–55. This reading, driven by broad deterioration in both current conditions (51.8) and expectations (50.6), reflects heightened inflation concerns—with one-year expectations rising to 4.3%—amid elevated price pressures affecting lower-income and older households. The decline ended two months of gains and occurred across demographic and political groups. With the final August release scheduled for August 28, trader-implied probabilities cluster around 49.0–54.9 as the market prices in limited revisions to the preliminary figure and ongoing sensitivity to inflation and labor-market data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$19,311Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% month-over-month from July’s 55.2 and below economist expectations near 54.5–55. This reading, driven by broad deterioration in both current conditions (51.8) and expectations (50.6), reflects heightened inflation concerns—with one-year expectations rising to 4.3%—amid elevated price pressures affecting lower-income and older households. The decline ended two months of gains and occurred across demographic and political groups. With the final August release scheduled for August 28, trader-implied probabilities cluster around 49.0–54.9 as the market prices in limited revisions to the preliminary figure and ongoing sensitivity to inflation and labor-market data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$19,311Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% month-over-month from July’s 55.2 and below economist expectations near 54.5–55. This reading, driven by broad deterioration in both current conditions (51.8) and expectations (50.6), reflects heightened inflation concerns—with one-year expectations rising to 4.3%—amid elevated price pressures affecting lower-income and older households. The decline ended two months of gains and occurred across demographic and political groups. With the final August release scheduled for August 28, trader-implied probabilities cluster around 49.0–54.9 as the market prices in limited revisions to the preliminary figure and ongoing sensitivity to inflation and labor-market data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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