The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, landing in the 46.0–48.9 bucket that commands 60.5% market-implied probability. The 3.9-point drop from August reflected a resurgence in gasoline prices, renewed trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Both current conditions and expectations components weakened, with the latter falling sharply amid broader affordability pressures linked to elevated energy costs and lingering effects from earlier geopolitical developments. The final September reading, due September 25, remains a modest swing factor, though the preliminary print has already aligned closely with trader consensus on near-term consumer resilience.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado46,0 a 48,9 61%
43,0 a 45,9 25%
49,0 a 51,9 9.7%
55,0 a 57,9 4.9%
NOVO
NOVO
25 set 2026
<43,0
3%
43,0 a 45,9
25%
46,0 a 48,9
61%
49,0 a 51,9
10%
52,0 a 54,9
<1%
55,0 a 57,9
5%
58,0+
7%
46,0 a 48,9 61%
43,0 a 45,9 25%
49,0 a 51,9 9.7%
55,0 a 57,9 4.9%
NOVO
NOVO
25 set 2026
<43,0
$433 Vol.
3%
43,0 a 45,9
$1,218 Vol.
25%
46,0 a 48,9
$5,257 Vol.
61%
49,0 a 51,9
$417 Vol.
10%
52,0 a 54,9
$277 Vol.
<1%
55,0 a 57,9
$981 Vol.
5%
58,0+
$249 Vol.
7%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, landing in the 46.0–48.9 bucket that commands 60.5% market-implied probability. The 3.9-point drop from August reflected a resurgence in gasoline prices, renewed trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Both current conditions and expectations components weakened, with the latter falling sharply amid broader affordability pressures linked to elevated energy costs and lingering effects from earlier geopolitical developments. The final September reading, due September 25, remains a modest swing factor, though the preliminary print has already aligned closely with trader consensus on near-term consumer resilience.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Volume
$8,832Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, landing in the 46.0–48.9 bucket that commands 60.5% market-implied probability. The 3.9-point drop from August reflected a resurgence in gasoline prices, renewed trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Both current conditions and expectations components weakened, with the latter falling sharply amid broader affordability pressures linked to elevated energy costs and lingering effects from earlier geopolitical developments. The final September reading, due September 25, remains a modest swing factor, though the preliminary print has already aligned closely with trader consensus on near-term consumer resilience.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$8,832Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, landing in the 46.0–48.9 bucket that commands 60.5% market-implied probability. The 3.9-point drop from August reflected a resurgence in gasoline prices, renewed trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Both current conditions and expectations components weakened, with the latter falling sharply amid broader affordability pressures linked to elevated energy costs and lingering effects from earlier geopolitical developments. The final September reading, due September 25, remains a modest swing factor, though the preliminary print has already aligned closely with trader consensus on near-term consumer resilience.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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