US special forces raided Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in a nighttime operation targeting alleged narco-terrorism, followed by swift withdrawal without ground troop deployment or occupation. This one-off military action prompted US sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez, enabling economic stabilization and political transition toward elections. No further US troops have entered Venezuela in the intervening months, with policy emphasizing diplomacy, regional security via SOUTHCOM, and congressional oversight on war powers. Absent major provocations like regime resurgence or border threats, trader consensus reflects de-escalation, though Venezuelan polls and interim government performance could signal risks ahead of vote deadlines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1,298,270 Vol.
31 jan 2026
30 de junho
6%
$1,298,270 Vol.
30 de junho
$213,507 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces raided Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in a nighttime operation targeting alleged narco-terrorism, followed by swift withdrawal without ground troop deployment or occupation. This one-off military action prompted US sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez, enabling economic stabilization and political transition toward elections. No further US troops have entered Venezuela in the intervening months, with policy emphasizing diplomacy, regional security via SOUTHCOM, and congressional oversight on war powers. Absent major provocations like regime resurgence or border threats, trader consensus reflects de-escalation, though Venezuelan polls and interim government performance could signal risks ahead of vote deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,270Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces raided Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in a nighttime operation targeting alleged narco-terrorism, followed by swift withdrawal without ground troop deployment or occupation. This one-off military action prompted US sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez, enabling economic stabilization and political transition toward elections. No further US troops have entered Venezuela in the intervening months, with policy emphasizing diplomacy, regional security via SOUTHCOM, and congressional oversight on war powers. Absent major provocations like regime resurgence or border threats, trader consensus reflects de-escalation, though Venezuelan polls and interim government performance could signal risks ahead of vote deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,270Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces raided Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in a nighttime operation targeting alleged narco-terrorism, followed by swift withdrawal without ground troop deployment or occupation. This one-off military action prompted US sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez, enabling economic stabilization and political transition toward elections. No further US troops have entered Venezuela in the intervening months, with policy emphasizing diplomacy, regional security via SOUTHCOM, and congressional oversight on war powers. Absent major provocations like regime resurgence or border threats, trader consensus reflects de-escalation, though Venezuelan polls and interim government performance could signal risks ahead of vote deadlines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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