Traders assign a 60% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting occurring by year-end due to the stalled bilateral diplomacy that followed their August 2025 summit in Anchorage, Alaska. That encounter, focused on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, produced no ceasefire or agreement, and subsequent relations have deteriorated into deadlock with escalated fighting. No official announcements, scheduled summits, or confirmed venues have emerged in 2026 to reverse this trajectory. The secondary 32.5% share on China reflects ongoing speculation about possible third-country hosting tied to broader geopolitical alignments, while all other listed locations remain under 3% amid the absence of concrete diplomatic momentum or scheduled events that could shift outcomes before December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOnde Trump e Putin se encontrarão em 2026?
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 60%
China 33%
United States 3.3%
Other <1%
$492,417 Vol.
$492,417 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
60%

China
33%

United States
3%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 60%
China 33%
United States 3.3%
Other <1%
$492,417 Vol.
$492,417 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
60%

China
33%

United States
3%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 60% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting occurring by year-end due to the stalled bilateral diplomacy that followed their August 2025 summit in Anchorage, Alaska. That encounter, focused on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, produced no ceasefire or agreement, and subsequent relations have deteriorated into deadlock with escalated fighting. No official announcements, scheduled summits, or confirmed venues have emerged in 2026 to reverse this trajectory. The secondary 32.5% share on China reflects ongoing speculation about possible third-country hosting tied to broader geopolitical alignments, while all other listed locations remain under 3% amid the absence of concrete diplomatic momentum or scheduled events that could shift outcomes before December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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