Trump's transition process features a fragmented field for Director of National Intelligence, with no single candidate commanding dominant support and the leading probability on no announcement by year-end reflecting ongoing deliberations. John Ratcliffe's prior service in the role during the first term positions him as an experienced option with intelligence community familiarity, while Elise Stefanik's congressional background offers legislative ties that could aid Senate confirmation. Aaron Lukas, Michael Ellis, and other listed contenders bring varying combinations of national security experience, loyalty signals, and policy alignment that traders weigh against confirmation risks and timing pressures. Upcoming personnel announcements or signals on intelligence priorities could consolidate backing by clarifying administration preferences among these profiles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWho will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
No announcement by December 31 26.8%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Elise Stefanik 11%
Michael Ellis 9.3%
$79,495 Vol.
$79,495 Vol.
31 dez 2026
No announcement by December 31
27%
Aaron Lukas
12%
Elise Stefanik
11%
Michael Ellis
9%
John Ratcliffe
15%
Devin Nunes
7%
Chris Stewart
6%
Tom Cotton
6%
Mike Flynn
5%
Richard Grenell
7%
John Eisenberg
5%
Sebastian Gorka
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Derek Harvey
4%
Stephen Miller
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Stacey Dixon
<1%
No announcement by December 31 26.8%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Elise Stefanik 11%
Michael Ellis 9.3%
$79,495 Vol.
$79,495 Vol.
31 dez 2026
No announcement by December 31
$18,955 Vol.
27%
Aaron Lukas
$16,810 Vol.
12%
Elise Stefanik
$14,189 Vol.
11%
Michael Ellis
$1,597 Vol.
9%
John Ratcliffe
$324 Vol.
15%
Devin Nunes
$8,795 Vol.
7%
Chris Stewart
$314 Vol.
6%
Tom Cotton
$8,602 Vol.
6%
Mike Flynn
$238 Vol.
5%
Richard Grenell
$7,972 Vol.
7%
John Eisenberg
$156 Vol.
5%
Sebastian Gorka
$148 Vol.
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
$174 Vol.
4%
Derek Harvey
$254 Vol.
4%
Stephen Miller
$130 Vol.
3%
Robert O’Brien
$164 Vol.
3%
Kash Patel
$238 Vol.
<1%
Mike Waltz
$158 Vol.
<1%
Stacey Dixon
$274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's transition process features a fragmented field for Director of National Intelligence, with no single candidate commanding dominant support and the leading probability on no announcement by year-end reflecting ongoing deliberations. John Ratcliffe's prior service in the role during the first term positions him as an experienced option with intelligence community familiarity, while Elise Stefanik's congressional background offers legislative ties that could aid Senate confirmation. Aaron Lukas, Michael Ellis, and other listed contenders bring varying combinations of national security experience, loyalty signals, and policy alignment that traders weigh against confirmation risks and timing pressures. Upcoming personnel announcements or signals on intelligence priorities could consolidate backing by clarifying administration preferences among these profiles.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$79,495Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's transition process features a fragmented field for Director of National Intelligence, with no single candidate commanding dominant support and the leading probability on no announcement by year-end reflecting ongoing deliberations. John Ratcliffe's prior service in the role during the first term positions him as an experienced option with intelligence community familiarity, while Elise Stefanik's congressional background offers legislative ties that could aid Senate confirmation. Aaron Lukas, Michael Ellis, and other listed contenders bring varying combinations of national security experience, loyalty signals, and policy alignment that traders weigh against confirmation risks and timing pressures. Upcoming personnel announcements or signals on intelligence priorities could consolidate backing by clarifying administration preferences among these profiles.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$79,495Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's transition process features a fragmented field for Director of National Intelligence, with no single candidate commanding dominant support and the leading probability on no announcement by year-end reflecting ongoing deliberations. John Ratcliffe's prior service in the role during the first term positions him as an experienced option with intelligence community familiarity, while Elise Stefanik's congressional background offers legislative ties that could aid Senate confirmation. Aaron Lukas, Michael Ellis, and other listed contenders bring varying combinations of national security experience, loyalty signals, and policy alignment that traders weigh against confirmation risks and timing pressures. Upcoming personnel announcements or signals on intelligence priorities could consolidate backing by clarifying administration preferences among these profiles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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