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icon for 2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição
Eleições·Escócia

2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição

icon for 2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição
Eleições·Escócia

2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição

Lara Bird 88%

Bill Reid 8.5%

Heather Doran 1.4%

Tanvir Ahmad 1.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

Lara Bird 88%

Bill Reid 8.5%

Heather Doran 1.4%

Tanvir Ahmad 1.3%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Lara Bird

Lara Bird

$3,462 Vol.

88%

icon for Bill Reid

Bill Reid

$888 Vol.

9%

icon for Heather Doran

Heather Doran

$1,045 Vol.

1%

icon for Tanvir Ahmad

Tanvir Ahmad

$373 Vol.

1%

icon for Jack Cruickshanks

Jack Cruickshanks

$332 Vol.

1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).The upcoming 18 June 2026 UK parliamentary by-election in the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry constituency, triggered by former SNP MP Stephen Gethins's move to the Scottish Parliament, positions Lara Bird as the clear frontrunner at 87.5% implied probability. The SNP's retention of the seat reflects its established base in this Scottish constituency, reinforced by recent Holyrood results and active campaigning by Bird and party figures ahead of polling. Other named candidates trail sharply, with Reform UK's Bill Reid at 8.5% amid broader UK trends for the party, while Labour's Heather Doran, the Liberal Democrats' Tanvir Ahmad, and the Conservatives' Jack Cruickshanks register minimal trader support. The closely timed vote and first-past-the-post system amplify the impact of local turnout and any late shifts in voter preferences among the five confirmed contenders.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
Volume
$6,100
Data de Término
19 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).The upcoming 18 June 2026 UK parliamentary by-election in the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry constituency, triggered by former SNP MP Stephen Gethins's move to the Scottish Parliament, positions Lara Bird as the clear frontrunner at 87.5% implied probability. The SNP's retention of the seat reflects its established base in this Scottish constituency, reinforced by recent Holyrood results and active campaigning by Bird and party figures ahead of polling. Other named candidates trail sharply, with Reform UK's Bill Reid at 8.5% amid broader UK trends for the party, while Labour's Heather Doran, the Liberal Democrats' Tanvir Ahmad, and the Conservatives' Jack Cruickshanks register minimal trader support. The closely timed vote and first-past-the-post system amplify the impact of local turnout and any late shifts in voter preferences among the five confirmed contenders.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
Volume
$6,100
Data de Término
19 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Arbroath and Broughty Ferry is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lara Bird" at 88%, followed by "Bill Reid" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição" is "Lara Bird" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bill Reid" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.