**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from the Khamenei account during June 12–19, 2026, reflecting the low baseline activity of official Iranian leadership channels following the leadership transition.** The @khamenei_ir account, which posts statements attributed to the martyred former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, and related profiles tied to successor Mojtaba Khamenei typically issue infrequent official communications rather than daily updates. Recent developments, including Mojtaba Khamenei’s limited public visibility and sparse statements since assuming the role in March 2026, reinforce expectations of restrained output amid ongoing regional tensions and internal consolidation. Historical patterns show spikes mainly during acute crises, with routine weeks producing minimal content. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with the account’s managed cadence and absence of scheduled high-profile addresses or diplomatic escalations in the immediate window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
<5 78%
5-9 7.1%
15-19 2.7%
20-24 2.0%
NOVO
NOVO
19 jun 2026
<5
78%
5-9
7%
10-14
2%
15-19
3%
20-24
2%
25-29
2%
30-34
2%
35-39
1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
1%
60+
<1%
<5 78%
5-9 7.1%
15-19 2.7%
20-24 2.0%
NOVO
NOVO
19 jun 2026
<5
$1,457 Vol.
78%
5-9
$249 Vol.
7%
10-14
$244 Vol.
2%
15-19
$272 Vol.
3%
20-24
$256 Vol.
2%
25-29
$234 Vol.
2%
30-34
$260 Vol.
2%
35-39
$224 Vol.
1%
40-44
$297 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$214 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$286 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$186 Vol.
1%
60+
$219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from the Khamenei account during June 12–19, 2026, reflecting the low baseline activity of official Iranian leadership channels following the leadership transition.** The @khamenei_ir account, which posts statements attributed to the martyred former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, and related profiles tied to successor Mojtaba Khamenei typically issue infrequent official communications rather than daily updates. Recent developments, including Mojtaba Khamenei’s limited public visibility and sparse statements since assuming the role in March 2026, reinforce expectations of restrained output amid ongoing regional tensions and internal consolidation. Historical patterns show spikes mainly during acute crises, with routine weeks producing minimal content. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with the account’s managed cadence and absence of scheduled high-profile addresses or diplomatic escalations in the immediate window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,398Data de Término
19 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from the Khamenei account during June 12–19, 2026, reflecting the low baseline activity of official Iranian leadership channels following the leadership transition.** The @khamenei_ir account, which posts statements attributed to the martyred former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, and related profiles tied to successor Mojtaba Khamenei typically issue infrequent official communications rather than daily updates. Recent developments, including Mojtaba Khamenei’s limited public visibility and sparse statements since assuming the role in March 2026, reinforce expectations of restrained output amid ongoing regional tensions and internal consolidation. Historical patterns show spikes mainly during acute crises, with routine weeks producing minimal content. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with the account’s managed cadence and absence of scheduled high-profile addresses or diplomatic escalations in the immediate window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,398Data de Término
19 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from the Khamenei account during June 12–19, 2026, reflecting the low baseline activity of official Iranian leadership channels following the leadership transition.** The @khamenei_ir account, which posts statements attributed to the martyred former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, and related profiles tied to successor Mojtaba Khamenei typically issue infrequent official communications rather than daily updates. Recent developments, including Mojtaba Khamenei’s limited public visibility and sparse statements since assuming the role in March 2026, reinforce expectations of restrained output amid ongoing regional tensions and internal consolidation. Historical patterns show spikes mainly during acute crises, with routine weeks producing minimal content. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with the account’s managed cadence and absence of scheduled high-profile addresses or diplomatic escalations in the immediate window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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