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icon for O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 16 a 23 de junho de 2026?

O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 16 a 23 de junho de 2026?

icon for O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 16 a 23 de junho de 2026?

O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 16 a 23 de junho de 2026?

20-39 52%

140-159 45%

160-179 39%

180-199 39%

Polymarket
NOVO

20-39 52%

140-159 45%

160-179 39%

180-199 39%

Polymarket
NOVO

<20

$30 Vol.

19%

20-39

$10 Vol.

66%

40-59

$0 Vol.

30%

60-79

$30 Vol.

20%

80-99

$30 Vol.

37%

100-119

$30 Vol.

20%

120-139

$71 Vol.

17%

140-159

$43 Vol.

45%

160-179

$43 Vol.

39%

180-199

$43 Vol.

39%

200+

$43 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (66%) to the 20-39 posts range for June 16-23 based on patterns observed since inauguration. This moderate volume aligns with roughly three to five daily updates on routine city operations, events, and policy announcements, absent any major scheduled catalysts or breaking developments in the immediate period that would drive higher output. Secondary ranges such as 40-59 (29.5%) and various higher bins around 19-22.5% reflect limited expectations of spikes from unfolding issues like public safety, events planning, or legislative activity, while lower bins near 19% price in the low likelihood of unusually quiet weeks. Market positioning draws from the administration's established communications rhythm rather than short-term volatility.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$375
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (66%) to the 20-39 posts range for June 16-23 based on patterns observed since inauguration. This moderate volume aligns with roughly three to five daily updates on routine city operations, events, and policy announcements, absent any major scheduled catalysts or breaking developments in the immediate period that would drive higher output. Secondary ranges such as 40-59 (29.5%) and various higher bins around 19-22.5% reflect limited expectations of spikes from unfolding issues like public safety, events planning, or legislative activity, while lower bins near 19% price in the low likelihood of unusually quiet weeks. Market positioning draws from the administration's established communications rhythm rather than short-term volatility.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$375
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 16 a 23 de junho de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 66%, followed by "40-59" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 16 a 23 de junho de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 16 a 23 de junho de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 16 a 23 de junho de 2026?" is "20-39" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 16 a 23 de junho de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.