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Política·Primárias

Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?

icon for Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?
Política·Primárias

Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?

Janeese Lewis George 64%

Kenyan McDuffie 34%

Gary Goodweather 2.3%

Brooke Pinto <1%

Polymarket

$117,556 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George 64%

Kenyan McDuffie 34%

Gary Goodweather 2.3%

Brooke Pinto <1%

Polymarket

$117,556 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George

$7,194 Vol.

64%

Kenyan McDuffie

$29,129 Vol.

34%

Gary Goodweather

$17,737 Vol.

2%

Brooke Pinto

$15,671 Vol.

<1%

Muriel Bowser

$996 Vol.

<1%

Robert White Jr.

$3,599 Vol.

<1%

Brianne K. Nadeau

$2,480 Vol.

<1%

Karl Racine

$1,505 Vol.

<1%

Zachary Parker

$879 Vol.

<1%

Brian Schwalb

$1,316 Vol.

<1%

Christina Henderson

$34,253 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mendelson

$2,797 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a clear lead in the Democratic primary for D.C. mayor, scheduled for June 16, as traders reflect her consolidation of progressive endorsements, labor union support, and strong small-dollar fundraising from District residents. Recent ratings from GLAA and an endorsement by the Capital Stonewall Democrats have reinforced her position among left-leaning voters focused on affordability, housing costs, and opposition to federal intervention. Kenyan McDuffie, positioned as the more centrist alternative with business backing, trails amid debates over permitting reforms and crime policies, though he retains support from real estate interests. Late-stage advertising on utilities and public safety has sharpened contrasts between the two frontrunners without shifting the overall market consensus. Other declared candidates remain marginal, consistent with limited polling visibility and weaker organizational infrastructure ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$117,556
Data de Término
16 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a clear lead in the Democratic primary for D.C. mayor, scheduled for June 16, as traders reflect her consolidation of progressive endorsements, labor union support, and strong small-dollar fundraising from District residents. Recent ratings from GLAA and an endorsement by the Capital Stonewall Democrats have reinforced her position among left-leaning voters focused on affordability, housing costs, and opposition to federal intervention. Kenyan McDuffie, positioned as the more centrist alternative with business backing, trails amid debates over permitting reforms and crime policies, though he retains support from real estate interests. Late-stage advertising on utilities and public safety has sharpened contrasts between the two frontrunners without shifting the overall market consensus. Other declared candidates remain marginal, consistent with limited polling visibility and weaker organizational infrastructure ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$117,556
Data de Término
16 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janeese Lewis George" at 64%, followed by "Kenyan McDuffie" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?" has generated $117.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?" is "Janeese Lewis George" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kenyan McDuffie" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem ganhará a Primária da Prefeitura Democrática de D.C. de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.