Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, rooted in voter registration advantages exceeding 50 percent for the GOP against roughly 10 percent for Democrats and consistent general-election margins above 40 points, drives the market's 94 percent consensus on a Republican win in the state's at-large House race. Incumbent Harriet Hageman's retirement to pursue the Senate seat has created an open primary on August 18, 2026, featuring at least nine GOP contenders including high-profile figures such as Secretary of State Chuck Gray, ensuring a strong nominee will advance regardless of the outcome. Democrats face minimal viable challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. Rare scenarios that could narrow this lead include an unexpected post-primary Republican scandal, sharply adverse national midterm conditions, or anomalous turnout shifts, though structural partisan math makes such reversals unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Casa WY-AL
Vencedor da eleição da Casa WY-AL
$26,889 Vol.
$26,889 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$26,889 Vol.
$26,889 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$16,375 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$10,514 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, rooted in voter registration advantages exceeding 50 percent for the GOP against roughly 10 percent for Democrats and consistent general-election margins above 40 points, drives the market's 94 percent consensus on a Republican win in the state's at-large House race. Incumbent Harriet Hageman's retirement to pursue the Senate seat has created an open primary on August 18, 2026, featuring at least nine GOP contenders including high-profile figures such as Secretary of State Chuck Gray, ensuring a strong nominee will advance regardless of the outcome. Democrats face minimal viable challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. Rare scenarios that could narrow this lead include an unexpected post-primary Republican scandal, sharply adverse national midterm conditions, or anomalous turnout shifts, though structural partisan math makes such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$26,889Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, rooted in voter registration advantages exceeding 50 percent for the GOP against roughly 10 percent for Democrats and consistent general-election margins above 40 points, drives the market's 94 percent consensus on a Republican win in the state's at-large House race. Incumbent Harriet Hageman's retirement to pursue the Senate seat has created an open primary on August 18, 2026, featuring at least nine GOP contenders including high-profile figures such as Secretary of State Chuck Gray, ensuring a strong nominee will advance regardless of the outcome. Democrats face minimal viable challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. Rare scenarios that could narrow this lead include an unexpected post-primary Republican scandal, sharply adverse national midterm conditions, or anomalous turnout shifts, though structural partisan math makes such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,889Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, rooted in voter registration advantages exceeding 50 percent for the GOP against roughly 10 percent for Democrats and consistent general-election margins above 40 points, drives the market's 94 percent consensus on a Republican win in the state's at-large House race. Incumbent Harriet Hageman's retirement to pursue the Senate seat has created an open primary on August 18, 2026, featuring at least nine GOP contenders including high-profile figures such as Secretary of State Chuck Gray, ensuring a strong nominee will advance regardless of the outcome. Democrats face minimal viable challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. Rare scenarios that could narrow this lead include an unexpected post-primary Republican scandal, sharply adverse national midterm conditions, or anomalous turnout shifts, though structural partisan math makes such reversals unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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