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icon for Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?

Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?

icon for Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?

Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$207,456 Vol.

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$207,456 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration.** A Seoul court sentenced him to life imprisonment in February 2026 for leading an insurrection, with the ruling upheld in key aspects through appeals. An additional 30-year term was imposed in June 2026 for abuse of power and related charges involving drone operations over North Korea intended to create a pretext for the emergency measure. The Supreme Court has also affirmed a seven-year sentence on obstruction and document-related counts. Ongoing appeals in the main insurrection case are proceeding through higher courts, but the cumulative sentences and procedural timelines make release before 2027 improbable under standard South Korean judicial processes. Recent September 2026 acquittals on separate perjury and abuse-of-authority charges in unrelated matters do not alter his detention status or the primary convictions. Trader consensus at 92.8% for "No" reflects the severity of the penalties, the pace of appeals in high-profile political cases, and the absence of any executive or judicial action indicating early release.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$207,456
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration.** A Seoul court sentenced him to life imprisonment in February 2026 for leading an insurrection, with the ruling upheld in key aspects through appeals. An additional 30-year term was imposed in June 2026 for abuse of power and related charges involving drone operations over North Korea intended to create a pretext for the emergency measure. The Supreme Court has also affirmed a seven-year sentence on obstruction and document-related counts. Ongoing appeals in the main insurrection case are proceeding through higher courts, but the cumulative sentences and procedural timelines make release before 2027 improbable under standard South Korean judicial processes. Recent September 2026 acquittals on separate perjury and abuse-of-authority charges in unrelated matters do not alter his detention status or the primary convictions. Trader consensus at 92.8% for "No" reflects the severity of the penalties, the pace of appeals in high-profile political cases, and the absence of any executive or judicial action indicating early release.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$207,456
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yoon estará fora da custódia antes de 2027?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?" has generated $207.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?" is "Yoon estará fora da custódia antes de 2027?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Yoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.