President Trump's sustained tenure amid administration turbulence drives the 93.5% "No" trader consensus on resignation by December 31, 2026, as no official statements, health disclosures, impeachment proceedings, or 25th Amendment invocations have emerged to suggest otherwise. Recent cabinet shakeups—including FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's May 12 exit, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 21 departure, and earlier national security resignations tied to Iran policy rifts—alongside poor approval ratings evoking Nixon-era comparisons and opinion calls for voluntary resignation, have failed to indicate personal intent to step down. Traders weigh Trump's historical resilience against midterm election risks in November 2026, which could intensify lame-duck pressures but remain unlikely to prompt exit before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's sustained tenure amid administration turbulence drives the 93.5% "No" trader consensus on resignation by December 31, 2026, as no official statements, health disclosures, impeachment proceedings, or 25th Amendment invocations have emerged to suggest otherwise. Recent cabinet shakeups—including FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's May 12 exit, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 21 departure, and earlier national security resignations tied to Iran policy rifts—alongside poor approval ratings evoking Nixon-era comparisons and opinion calls for voluntary resignation, have failed to indicate personal intent to step down. Traders weigh Trump's historical resilience against midterm election risks in November 2026, which could intensify lame-duck pressures but remain unlikely to prompt exit before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's sustained tenure amid administration turbulence drives the 93.5% "No" trader consensus on resignation by December 31, 2026, as no official statements, health disclosures, impeachment proceedings, or 25th Amendment invocations have emerged to suggest otherwise. Recent cabinet shakeups—including FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's May 12 exit, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 21 departure, and earlier national security resignations tied to Iran policy rifts—alongside poor approval ratings evoking Nixon-era comparisons and opinion calls for voluntary resignation, have failed to indicate personal intent to step down. Traders weigh Trump's historical resilience against midterm election risks in November 2026, which could intensify lame-duck pressures but remain unlikely to prompt exit before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President Trump's sustained tenure amid administration turbulence drives the 93.5% "No" trader consensus on resignation by December 31, 2026, as no official statements, health disclosures, impeachment proceedings, or 25th Amendment invocations have emerged to suggest otherwise. Recent cabinet shakeups—including FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's May 12 exit, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 21 departure, and earlier national security resignations tied to Iran policy rifts—alongside poor approval ratings evoking Nixon-era comparisons and opinion calls for voluntary resignation, have failed to indicate personal intent to step down. Traders weigh Trump's historical resilience against midterm election risks in November 2026, which could intensify lame-duck pressures but remain unlikely to prompt exit before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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