President Trump's active engagement in governance through mid-2026, including recent policy outlines on healthcare costs and drug pricing, aligns with trader consensus that resignation before December 31 is highly improbable. Historical precedent shows only one modern U.S. president has resigned, and no verified developments—such as confirmed health concerns, legal pressures, or party calls for departure—support an exit in the remaining months of the year. Speculation from critics has focused primarily on post-2026 midterm scenarios rather than immediate action. The 96.3% implied probability for "No" reflects this stability in public statements and institutional continuity. Rare shifts could still arise from unforeseen health events or sudden congressional dynamics, though none appear imminent based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
4% chance
$527,482 Vol.
$527,482 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
4% chance
$527,482 Vol.
$527,482 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's active engagement in governance through mid-2026, including recent policy outlines on healthcare costs and drug pricing, aligns with trader consensus that resignation before December 31 is highly improbable. Historical precedent shows only one modern U.S. president has resigned, and no verified developments—such as confirmed health concerns, legal pressures, or party calls for departure—support an exit in the remaining months of the year. Speculation from critics has focused primarily on post-2026 midterm scenarios rather than immediate action. The 96.3% implied probability for "No" reflects this stability in public statements and institutional continuity. Rare shifts could still arise from unforeseen health events or sudden congressional dynamics, though none appear imminent based on current evidence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$527,482Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's active engagement in governance through mid-2026, including recent policy outlines on healthcare costs and drug pricing, aligns with trader consensus that resignation before December 31 is highly improbable. Historical precedent shows only one modern U.S. president has resigned, and no verified developments—such as confirmed health concerns, legal pressures, or party calls for departure—support an exit in the remaining months of the year. Speculation from critics has focused primarily on post-2026 midterm scenarios rather than immediate action. The 96.3% implied probability for "No" reflects this stability in public statements and institutional continuity. Rare shifts could still arise from unforeseen health events or sudden congressional dynamics, though none appear imminent based on current evidence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$527,482Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President Trump's active engagement in governance through mid-2026, including recent policy outlines on healthcare costs and drug pricing, aligns with trader consensus that resignation before December 31 is highly improbable. Historical precedent shows only one modern U.S. president has resigned, and no verified developments—such as confirmed health concerns, legal pressures, or party calls for departure—support an exit in the remaining months of the year. Speculation from critics has focused primarily on post-2026 midterm scenarios rather than immediate action. The 96.3% implied probability for "No" reflects this stability in public statements and institutional continuity. Rare shifts could still arise from unforeseen health events or sudden congressional dynamics, though none appear imminent based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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