Michelle Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party nomination and national profile as former first lady have anchored right-wing support in the Federal District Senate race, yet trader odds remain tightly clustered near 35% for her and Zanata because multiple PL-aligned names continue to split conservative votes ahead of the October 4, 2026, plurality contest. Recent PoderData and other surveys show her statistically tied or narrowly ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), with Bia Kicis, Erika Kokay, and Ibaneis Rocha also registering measurable support that fragments the field. Family reconciliation between Michelle and Flávio Bolsonaro has stabilized messaging but has not consolidated the right, while the left’s focus on established local figures keeps the outcome sensitive to turnout and last-minute alignments. Traders price modest separation risk from any late consolidation or polling surge by a single contender.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСебастьян Коэльо 35%
Заната 35%
Мишель Болсонару 32%
Тиаго 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Себастьян Коэльо
35%
Заната
35%
Мишель Болсонару
32%
Тиаго
27%
Марли
24%
Лейла ду Воли
23%
Гуто Фелисиу душ Сантус
23%
Профессор Гильерме Аморим
23%
Биа Кисис
23%
Авенир Роса
22%
Дэвид Хорн
21%
Эрика Кокай
21%
Роналду Фонсека
21%
Себастьян Коэльо 35%
Заната 35%
Мишель Болсонару 32%
Тиаго 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Себастьян Коэльо
$0 Объем
35%
Заната
$0 Объем
35%
Мишель Болсонару
$0 Объем
32%
Тиаго
$0 Объем
27%
Марли
$0 Объем
24%
Лейла ду Воли
$0 Объем
23%
Гуто Фелисиу душ Сантус
$0 Объем
23%
Профессор Гильерме Аморим
$0 Объем
23%
Биа Кисис
$0 Объем
23%
Авенир Роса
$0 Объем
22%
Дэвид Хорн
$0 Объем
21%
Эрика Кокай
$0 Объем
21%
Роналду Фонсека
$0 Объем
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party nomination and national profile as former first lady have anchored right-wing support in the Federal District Senate race, yet trader odds remain tightly clustered near 35% for her and Zanata because multiple PL-aligned names continue to split conservative votes ahead of the October 4, 2026, plurality contest. Recent PoderData and other surveys show her statistically tied or narrowly ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), with Bia Kicis, Erika Kokay, and Ibaneis Rocha also registering measurable support that fragments the field. Family reconciliation between Michelle and Flávio Bolsonaro has stabilized messaging but has not consolidated the right, while the left’s focus on established local figures keeps the outcome sensitive to turnout and last-minute alignments. Traders price modest separation risk from any late consolidation or polling surge by a single contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party nomination and national profile as former first lady have anchored right-wing support in the Federal District Senate race, yet trader odds remain tightly clustered near 35% for her and Zanata because multiple PL-aligned names continue to split conservative votes ahead of the October 4, 2026, plurality contest. Recent PoderData and other surveys show her statistically tied or narrowly ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), with Bia Kicis, Erika Kokay, and Ibaneis Rocha also registering measurable support that fragments the field. Family reconciliation between Michelle and Flávio Bolsonaro has stabilized messaging but has not consolidated the right, while the left’s focus on established local figures keeps the outcome sensitive to turnout and last-minute alignments. Traders price modest separation risk from any late consolidation or polling surge by a single contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Michelle Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party nomination and national profile as former first lady have anchored right-wing support in the Federal District Senate race, yet trader odds remain tightly clustered near 35% for her and Zanata because multiple PL-aligned names continue to split conservative votes ahead of the October 4, 2026, plurality contest. Recent PoderData and other surveys show her statistically tied or narrowly ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT), with Bia Kicis, Erika Kokay, and Ibaneis Rocha also registering measurable support that fragments the field. Family reconciliation between Michelle and Flávio Bolsonaro has stabilized messaging but has not consolidated the right, while the left’s focus on established local figures keeps the outcome sensitive to turnout and last-minute alignments. Traders price modest separation risk from any late consolidation or polling surge by a single contender.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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