Recent legislative efforts to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax (and 24.4-cent diesel tax) have stalled amid elevated pump prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict. A House Republican push for a temporary holiday faltered on September 16 when Speaker Mike Johnson indicated insufficient support within the caucus, citing concerns over revenue losses to the Highway Trust Fund; the chamber adjourned until after the November midterms. Rep. Andy Harris introduced a bill on September 15 to pause the taxes through year-end, following earlier proposals from Sens. Josh Hawley and Mark Kelly. Any change requires congressional passage and presidential signature, as the president lacks unilateral authority, and no federal suspension has occurred since the tax's establishment. Traders appear to weigh these procedural and fiscal barriers against continued price pressure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$38,088 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
November 2
2%
$38,088 Объем
November 2
$15,722 Объем
2%
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent legislative efforts to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax (and 24.4-cent diesel tax) have stalled amid elevated pump prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict. A House Republican push for a temporary holiday faltered on September 16 when Speaker Mike Johnson indicated insufficient support within the caucus, citing concerns over revenue losses to the Highway Trust Fund; the chamber adjourned until after the November midterms. Rep. Andy Harris introduced a bill on September 15 to pause the taxes through year-end, following earlier proposals from Sens. Josh Hawley and Mark Kelly. Any change requires congressional passage and presidential signature, as the president lacks unilateral authority, and no federal suspension has occurred since the tax's establishment. Traders appear to weigh these procedural and fiscal barriers against continued price pressure.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Объем
$38,088Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent legislative efforts to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax (and 24.4-cent diesel tax) have stalled amid elevated pump prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict. A House Republican push for a temporary holiday faltered on September 16 when Speaker Mike Johnson indicated insufficient support within the caucus, citing concerns over revenue losses to the Highway Trust Fund; the chamber adjourned until after the November midterms. Rep. Andy Harris introduced a bill on September 15 to pause the taxes through year-end, following earlier proposals from Sens. Josh Hawley and Mark Kelly. Any change requires congressional passage and presidential signature, as the president lacks unilateral authority, and no federal suspension has occurred since the tax's establishment. Traders appear to weigh these procedural and fiscal barriers against continued price pressure.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$38,088Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent legislative efforts to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax (and 24.4-cent diesel tax) have stalled amid elevated pump prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict. A House Republican push for a temporary holiday faltered on September 16 when Speaker Mike Johnson indicated insufficient support within the caucus, citing concerns over revenue losses to the Highway Trust Fund; the chamber adjourned until after the November midterms. Rep. Andy Harris introduced a bill on September 15 to pause the taxes through year-end, following earlier proposals from Sens. Josh Hawley and Mark Kelly. Any change requires congressional passage and presidential signature, as the president lacks unilateral authority, and no federal suspension has occurred since the tax's establishment. Traders appear to weigh these procedural and fiscal barriers against continued price pressure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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