The 2026 Georgia gubernatorial race between Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson remains a toss-up, with recent July and August polls showing Bottoms leading or tied within the margin of error in surveys from State Navigate, AARP, and others, reflecting Georgia's status as a competitive swing state with an open seat. Trader consensus on narrow margins stems from the candidates' strong bases—Bottoms drawing decisive support among Black and urban voters after her primary win, while Jackson benefits from Republican strength in rural and suburban areas as a self-funded outsider who prevailed in the GOP runoff. Key factors sustaining the tightness include high undecided shares, turnout patterns in battleground counties, and economic concerns that have kept the race from breaking decisively. Upcoming debates, additional polling, or shifts in voter enthusiasm among key demographics could widen the final margin before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМаржа победы на выборах губернатора Джорджии (первый тур)
Маржа победы на выборах губернатора Джорджии (первый тур)
Демократ 3-6% 21%
Демократ 0-3% 16%
Демократ 6-9% 15%
Республиканец 0-3% 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец 12%+
2%
Республиканец 9-12%
2%
Республиканец 6-9%
5%
Республиканец 3-6%
12%
Республиканец 0-3%
13%
Демократ 0-3%
16%
Демократ 3-6%
21%
Демократ 6-9%
15%
Демократ 9-12%
10%
Democrat 12%+
9%
Демократ 3-6% 21%
Демократ 0-3% 16%
Демократ 6-9% 15%
Республиканец 0-3% 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец 12%+
$97 Объем
2%
Республиканец 9-12%
$82 Объем
2%
Республиканец 6-9%
$87 Объем
5%
Республиканец 3-6%
$99 Объем
12%
Республиканец 0-3%
$452 Объем
13%
Демократ 0-3%
$117 Объем
16%
Демократ 3-6%
$129 Объем
21%
Демократ 6-9%
$97 Объем
15%
Демократ 9-12%
$77 Объем
10%
Democrat 12%+
$143 Объем
9%
The 2026 first round of the Georgia gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Georgia gubernatorial race between Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson remains a toss-up, with recent July and August polls showing Bottoms leading or tied within the margin of error in surveys from State Navigate, AARP, and others, reflecting Georgia's status as a competitive swing state with an open seat. Trader consensus on narrow margins stems from the candidates' strong bases—Bottoms drawing decisive support among Black and urban voters after her primary win, while Jackson benefits from Republican strength in rural and suburban areas as a self-funded outsider who prevailed in the GOP runoff. Key factors sustaining the tightness include high undecided shares, turnout patterns in battleground counties, and economic concerns that have kept the race from breaking decisively. Upcoming debates, additional polling, or shifts in voter enthusiasm among key demographics could widen the final margin before November.
The 2026 first round of the Georgia gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Объем
$1,380Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 first round of the Georgia gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Georgia gubernatorial race between Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson remains a toss-up, with recent July and August polls showing Bottoms leading or tied within the margin of error in surveys from State Navigate, AARP, and others, reflecting Georgia's status as a competitive swing state with an open seat. Trader consensus on narrow margins stems from the candidates' strong bases—Bottoms drawing decisive support among Black and urban voters after her primary win, while Jackson benefits from Republican strength in rural and suburban areas as a self-funded outsider who prevailed in the GOP runoff. Key factors sustaining the tightness include high undecided shares, turnout patterns in battleground counties, and economic concerns that have kept the race from breaking decisively. Upcoming debates, additional polling, or shifts in voter enthusiasm among key demographics could widen the final margin before November.
The 2026 first round of the Georgia gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,380Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Georgia gubernatorial race between Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson remains a toss-up, with recent July and August polls showing Bottoms leading or tied within the margin of error in surveys from State Navigate, AARP, and others, reflecting Georgia's status as a competitive swing state with an open seat. Trader consensus on narrow margins stems from the candidates' strong bases—Bottoms drawing decisive support among Black and urban voters after her primary win, while Jackson benefits from Republican strength in rural and suburban areas as a self-funded outsider who prevailed in the GOP runoff. Key factors sustaining the tightness include high undecided shares, turnout patterns in battleground counties, and economic concerns that have kept the race from breaking decisively. Upcoming debates, additional polling, or shifts in voter enthusiasm among key demographics could widen the final margin before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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