Recent official forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires for August 15, 2026, under typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and isolated brief showers. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant radiative cooling, keeping the high within the narrow 14–17°C band that accounts for over 95% of current market-implied probability. Historical August climatology for the city shows mean highs near 15–16°C, providing a stable baseline against which today’s stable, non-anomalous synoptic pattern aligns closely. With resolution imminent via official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, traders have concentrated positions on the 16°C outcome as the most probable single value within the forecast envelope, while assigning lower weight to 15°C or any brief warming that could push readings to 17°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 15 августа?
16°C 65%
15°C 24%
17°C 12%
14°C 4%
$19,386 Объем
$19,386 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
22%
16°C
65%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 24%
17°C 12%
14°C 4%
$19,386 Объем
$19,386 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$271 Объем
<1%
13°C
$1,789 Объем
<1%
14°C
$927 Объем
4%
15°C
$2,275 Объем
22%
16°C
$8,201 Объем
65%
17°C
$3,052 Объем
12%
18°C
$1,649 Объем
2%
19°C
$403 Объем
<1%
20°C
$452 Объем
<1%
21°C
$177 Объем
<1%
22°C or higher
$189 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires for August 15, 2026, under typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and isolated brief showers. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant radiative cooling, keeping the high within the narrow 14–17°C band that accounts for over 95% of current market-implied probability. Historical August climatology for the city shows mean highs near 15–16°C, providing a stable baseline against which today’s stable, non-anomalous synoptic pattern aligns closely. With resolution imminent via official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, traders have concentrated positions on the 16°C outcome as the most probable single value within the forecast envelope, while assigning lower weight to 15°C or any brief warming that could push readings to 17°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Объем
$19,386Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires for August 15, 2026, under typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and isolated brief showers. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant radiative cooling, keeping the high within the narrow 14–17°C band that accounts for over 95% of current market-implied probability. Historical August climatology for the city shows mean highs near 15–16°C, providing a stable baseline against which today’s stable, non-anomalous synoptic pattern aligns closely. With resolution imminent via official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, traders have concentrated positions on the 16°C outcome as the most probable single value within the forecast envelope, while assigning lower weight to 15°C or any brief warming that could push readings to 17°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,386Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires for August 15, 2026, under typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and isolated brief showers. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant radiative cooling, keeping the high within the narrow 14–17°C band that accounts for over 95% of current market-implied probability. Historical August climatology for the city shows mean highs near 15–16°C, providing a stable baseline against which today’s stable, non-anomalous synoptic pattern aligns closely. With resolution imminent via official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, traders have concentrated positions on the 16°C outcome as the most probable single value within the forecast envelope, while assigning lower weight to 15°C or any brief warming that could push readings to 17°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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