**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila’s peak temperature on June 15, driven by the strengthening southwest monsoon.** PAGASA’s official outlook shows a 34°C high with 40% rain chance under partly cloudy skies, while long-term June averages hover near 32°C. Persistent monsoon flow brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity that limits solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent model runs and regional analyses indicate no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies that would push readings to 35°C or above, keeping those outcomes below 5% implied probability. Historical early-wet-season patterns reinforce this moderation, with traders weighting the monsoon’s cooling effect alongside the narrow window for any brief sunny breaks that could reach 34°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 15 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 15 июня?
33°C 47%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
47%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
33°C 47%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$677 Объем
<1%
29°C
$232 Объем
<1%
30°C
$221 Объем
1%
31°C
$525 Объем
2%
32°C
$178 Объем
24%
33°C
$200 Объем
47%
34°C
$806 Объем
22%
35°C
$462 Объем
4%
36°C
$154 Объем
1%
37°C
$105 Объем
<1%
38°C или выше
$46 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila’s peak temperature on June 15, driven by the strengthening southwest monsoon.** PAGASA’s official outlook shows a 34°C high with 40% rain chance under partly cloudy skies, while long-term June averages hover near 32°C. Persistent monsoon flow brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity that limits solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent model runs and regional analyses indicate no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies that would push readings to 35°C or above, keeping those outcomes below 5% implied probability. Historical early-wet-season patterns reinforce this moderation, with traders weighting the monsoon’s cooling effect alongside the narrow window for any brief sunny breaks that could reach 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$3,578Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila’s peak temperature on June 15, driven by the strengthening southwest monsoon.** PAGASA’s official outlook shows a 34°C high with 40% rain chance under partly cloudy skies, while long-term June averages hover near 32°C. Persistent monsoon flow brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity that limits solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent model runs and regional analyses indicate no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies that would push readings to 35°C or above, keeping those outcomes below 5% implied probability. Historical early-wet-season patterns reinforce this moderation, with traders weighting the monsoon’s cooling effect alongside the narrow window for any brief sunny breaks that could reach 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,578Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila’s peak temperature on June 15, driven by the strengthening southwest monsoon.** PAGASA’s official outlook shows a 34°C high with 40% rain chance under partly cloudy skies, while long-term June averages hover near 32°C. Persistent monsoon flow brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity that limits solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent model runs and regional analyses indicate no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies that would push readings to 35°C or above, keeping those outcomes below 5% implied probability. Historical early-wet-season patterns reinforce this moderation, with traders weighting the monsoon’s cooling effect alongside the narrow window for any brief sunny breaks that could reach 34°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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