Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models position 29–30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Tel Aviv on June 16, consistent with early-summer Mediterranean climatology of clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation that typically caps highs near the 28–30°C seasonal average. Current conditions show stable high pressure with limited moisture and no significant synoptic forcing for warming or cooling, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around those values while leaving modest probability for 31°C if the ridge strengthens or the breeze weakens. Traders are weighting these model consensus runs and recent observational trends more heavily than longer-term climate baselines, with resolution hinging on the final official reading from the Israel Meteorological Service.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
30°C 38%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
28°C 4.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
26%
30°C
38%
31°C
18%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 38%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
28°C 4.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$521 Объем
<1%
27°C
$262 Объем
1%
28°C
$387 Объем
5%
29°C
$153 Объем
26%
30°C
$153 Объем
38%
31°C
$138 Объем
18%
32°C
$107 Объем
5%
33°C
$85 Объем
1%
34°C
$265 Объем
1%
35°C
$210 Объем
<1%
36°C or higher
$305 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models position 29–30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Tel Aviv on June 16, consistent with early-summer Mediterranean climatology of clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation that typically caps highs near the 28–30°C seasonal average. Current conditions show stable high pressure with limited moisture and no significant synoptic forcing for warming or cooling, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around those values while leaving modest probability for 31°C if the ridge strengthens or the breeze weakens. Traders are weighting these model consensus runs and recent observational trends more heavily than longer-term climate baselines, with resolution hinging on the final official reading from the Israel Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$2,552Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models position 29–30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Tel Aviv on June 16, consistent with early-summer Mediterranean climatology of clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation that typically caps highs near the 28–30°C seasonal average. Current conditions show stable high pressure with limited moisture and no significant synoptic forcing for warming or cooling, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around those values while leaving modest probability for 31°C if the ridge strengthens or the breeze weakens. Traders are weighting these model consensus runs and recent observational trends more heavily than longer-term climate baselines, with resolution hinging on the final official reading from the Israel Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,552Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models position 29–30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Tel Aviv on June 16, consistent with early-summer Mediterranean climatology of clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation that typically caps highs near the 28–30°C seasonal average. Current conditions show stable high pressure with limited moisture and no significant synoptic forcing for warming or cooling, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around those values while leaving modest probability for 31°C if the ridge strengthens or the breeze weakens. Traders are weighting these model consensus runs and recent observational trends more heavily than longer-term climate baselines, with resolution hinging on the final official reading from the Israel Meteorological Service.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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