Forecast model consensus from major agencies points to a 30°C maximum in Tel Aviv on June 14, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate westerly flow, and the typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation that moderates coastal highs during early summer. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread around this value, consistent with climatological June averages near 29–30°C and limited potential for inland heat advection. Traders assign overwhelming probability to 30°C because current observations and short-range runs align closely with this threshold. An unexpected strengthening of easterly continental flow or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings to 31°C or higher, though such shifts appear low-probability given the stable pattern.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$29,376 Объем
$29,376 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$29,376 Объем
$29,376 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus from major agencies points to a 30°C maximum in Tel Aviv on June 14, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate westerly flow, and the typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation that moderates coastal highs during early summer. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread around this value, consistent with climatological June averages near 29–30°C and limited potential for inland heat advection. Traders assign overwhelming probability to 30°C because current observations and short-range runs align closely with this threshold. An unexpected strengthening of easterly continental flow or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings to 31°C or higher, though such shifts appear low-probability given the stable pattern.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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