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icon for Самая высокая температура в Ухане 18 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Ухане 18 мая?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Ухане 18 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Ухане 18 мая?

мая 18

мая 19

мая 18

мая 19

26°C 50%

25°C 25%

24°C 11.1%

27°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$21,842 Объем

26°C 50%

25°C 25%

24°C 11.1%

27°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$21,842 Объем

18°C or below

$420 Объем

<1%

19°C

$803 Объем

<1%

20°C

$420 Объем

<1%

21°C

$791 Объем

<1%

22°C

$1,756 Объем

<1%

23°C

$5,147 Объем

4%

24°C

$3,727 Объем

16%

25°C

$2,251 Объем

25%

26°C

$2,726 Объем

50%

27°C

$2,040 Объем

4%

28°C or higher

$1,810 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,842
Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 26 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading 26 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability. Mid-May climatology supports peaks of 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, while limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant cooling or intensification. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance that places the high most likely between 25 °C and 27 °C, with the 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes holding secondary shares at 26.5 % and 19.4 %. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine steering patterns and any convective development that could shift the final observed maximum at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,842
Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Ухане 18 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «26°C» с 50%, за ним следует «25°C» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 50¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Ухане 18 мая?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.8K с момента запуска рынка May 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Ухане 18 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Ухане 18 мая?» — «26°C» с 50%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Следующий ближайший исход — «25°C» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Ухане 18 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.