Current meteorological forecasts for Hong Kong point to elevated overnight minimum temperatures on May 21, with ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favoring values near or above 29°C due to southerly warm-air advection and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects a departure from late-May climatological averages of 24–25°C, as recent model runs show limited influence from cooler northerly flows or significant precipitation that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Traders are watching for updates in the next 48 hours from regional numerical weather prediction systems, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or humidity levels change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 21 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 21 мая?
29°C или выше 41%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 мая 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
12%
22°C
14%
23°C
16%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
18%
29°C или выше
41%
29°C или выше 41%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 мая 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
20°C
$0 Объем
11%
21°C
$0 Объем
12%
22°C
$0 Объем
14%
23°C
$0 Объем
16%
24°C
$0 Объем
19%
25°C
$0 Объем
20%
26°C
$0 Объем
20%
27°C
$0 Объем
20%
28°C
$0 Объем
18%
29°C или выше
$0 Объем
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Hong Kong point to elevated overnight minimum temperatures on May 21, with ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favoring values near or above 29°C due to southerly warm-air advection and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects a departure from late-May climatological averages of 24–25°C, as recent model runs show limited influence from cooler northerly flows or significant precipitation that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Traders are watching for updates in the next 48 hours from regional numerical weather prediction systems, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or humidity levels change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Hong Kong point to elevated overnight minimum temperatures on May 21, with ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favoring values near or above 29°C due to southerly warm-air advection and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects a departure from late-May climatological averages of 24–25°C, as recent model runs show limited influence from cooler northerly flows or significant precipitation that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Traders are watching for updates in the next 48 hours from regional numerical weather prediction systems, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or humidity levels change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts for Hong Kong point to elevated overnight minimum temperatures on May 21, with ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favoring values near or above 29°C due to southerly warm-air advection and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects a departure from late-May climatological averages of 24–25°C, as recent model runs show limited influence from cooler northerly flows or significant precipitation that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Traders are watching for updates in the next 48 hours from regional numerical weather prediction systems, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or humidity levels change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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