Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum near 25°C on May 16, driving the near-certain market consensus. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early southwest monsoon transition are suppressing solar heating across the subtropical region, keeping temperatures aligned with typical mid-May climatological norms. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows tight agreement, with minimal spread around this value and low uncertainty that the official high will settle in the 25°C range. Historical May baselines for Hong Kong average 28–29°C under clearer conditions, but current atmospheric moisture and wind patterns reinforce the cooler outcome. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected wind shift could allow additional radiative warming and nudge readings to 26–27°C, though latest observations indicate such changes remain unlikely before daily resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 99.9%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$268,187 Объем
$268,187 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.9%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$268,187 Объем
$268,187 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
$19,062 Объем
<1%
20°C
$11,752 Объем
<1%
21°C
$11,992 Объем
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Объем
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Объем
<1%
24°C
$37,039 Объем
<1%
25°C
$73,858 Объем
100%
26°C
$39,143 Объем
<1%
27°C
$39,172 Объем
<1%
28°C
$25,153 Объем
<1%
29°C or higher
$23,780 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum near 25°C on May 16, driving the near-certain market consensus. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early southwest monsoon transition are suppressing solar heating across the subtropical region, keeping temperatures aligned with typical mid-May climatological norms. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows tight agreement, with minimal spread around this value and low uncertainty that the official high will settle in the 25°C range. Historical May baselines for Hong Kong average 28–29°C under clearer conditions, but current atmospheric moisture and wind patterns reinforce the cooler outcome. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected wind shift could allow additional radiative warming and nudge readings to 26–27°C, though latest observations indicate such changes remain unlikely before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Объем
$268,187Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum near 25°C on May 16, driving the near-certain market consensus. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early southwest monsoon transition are suppressing solar heating across the subtropical region, keeping temperatures aligned with typical mid-May climatological norms. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows tight agreement, with minimal spread around this value and low uncertainty that the official high will settle in the 25°C range. Historical May baselines for Hong Kong average 28–29°C under clearer conditions, but current atmospheric moisture and wind patterns reinforce the cooler outcome. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected wind shift could allow additional radiative warming and nudge readings to 26–27°C, though latest observations indicate such changes remain unlikely before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$268,187Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum near 25°C on May 16, driving the near-certain market consensus. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the early southwest monsoon transition are suppressing solar heating across the subtropical region, keeping temperatures aligned with typical mid-May climatological norms. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows tight agreement, with minimal spread around this value and low uncertainty that the official high will settle in the 25°C range. Historical May baselines for Hong Kong average 28–29°C under clearer conditions, but current atmospheric moisture and wind patterns reinforce the cooler outcome. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected wind shift could allow additional radiative warming and nudge readings to 26–27°C, though latest observations indicate such changes remain unlikely before daily resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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