Recent forecast guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models points to a daytime high of 24–25 °C in São Paulo on May 16, driven by a cooler autumn air mass and light winds that limit surface heating. Typical May maxima average 23–26 °C, and today’s pattern of possible light showers further caps extreme warmth, which explains why 25 °C commands the highest implied probability. Traders are watching the final INMET bulletin and calibrated readings from Congonhas and Guarulhos airports, as any upward model revision or clearer skies could shift volume toward 26–27 °C while downward adjustments would reinforce the 24 °C outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 16 мая?
25°C 39%
26°C 23%
24°C 21.3%
27°C 13.1%
$31,706 Объем
$31,706 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C или выше
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 23%
24°C 21.3%
27°C 13.1%
$31,706 Объем
$31,706 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models points to a daytime high of 24–25 °C in São Paulo on May 16, driven by a cooler autumn air mass and light winds that limit surface heating. Typical May maxima average 23–26 °C, and today’s pattern of possible light showers further caps extreme warmth, which explains why 25 °C commands the highest implied probability. Traders are watching the final INMET bulletin and calibrated readings from Congonhas and Guarulhos airports, as any upward model revision or clearer skies could shift volume toward 26–27 °C while downward adjustments would reinforce the 24 °C outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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