Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Panama City’s May 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, reflecting the primary drivers of near-maximum May solar insolation at 9° N latitude and a lingering dry continental air mass that limits afternoon cloud cover. Recent observations show daily highs of 33–35 °C on May 13–16 under similar conditions, yet increasing Atlantic moisture and potential convective development in the next 48 hours could cap temperatures at or below 32 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C and 32 °C, while the 21.5 % chance of 33 °C or higher hinges on whether subsidence persists long enough to allow full insolation and minimal evaporative cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панаме 18 мая?
31°C 34%
32°C 31%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
34%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
21%
31°C 34%
32°C 31%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
34%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGCurrent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Panama City’s May 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, reflecting the primary drivers of near-maximum May solar insolation at 9° N latitude and a lingering dry continental air mass that limits afternoon cloud cover. Recent observations show daily highs of 33–35 °C on May 13–16 under similar conditions, yet increasing Atlantic moisture and potential convective development in the next 48 hours could cap temperatures at or below 32 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C and 32 °C, while the 21.5 % chance of 33 °C or higher hinges on whether subsidence persists long enough to allow full insolation and minimal evaporative cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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