Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high of 68–72°F in San Francisco on May 18, supported by clear skies, light onshore flow, and seasonal warming typical of mid-May. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and global ensembles shows minimal cloud cover and temperatures rising above the climatological average of 66°F, creating strong trader alignment behind the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 94.5% implied probability. Minor adjustments remain possible from late-day marine layer development or small forecast shifts, though current conditions make sub-68°F readings unlikely without an unexpected cooling surge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 18 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 18 мая?
68°F or higher 94%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F 4.5%
62-63°F 1.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 мая 2026 г.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
5%
68°F or higher
94%
68°F or higher 94%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F 4.5%
62-63°F 1.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 мая 2026 г.
49°F or below
$108 Объем
<1%
50-51°F
$105 Объем
<1%
52-53°F
$105 Объем
<1%
54-55°F
$105 Объем
<1%
56-57°F
$105 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$117 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$55 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$5 Объем
2%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
4%
66-67°F
$44 Объем
5%
68°F or higher
$25 Объем
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high of 68–72°F in San Francisco on May 18, supported by clear skies, light onshore flow, and seasonal warming typical of mid-May. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and global ensembles shows minimal cloud cover and temperatures rising above the climatological average of 66°F, creating strong trader alignment behind the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 94.5% implied probability. Minor adjustments remain possible from late-day marine layer development or small forecast shifts, though current conditions make sub-68°F readings unlikely without an unexpected cooling surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$758Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high of 68–72°F in San Francisco on May 18, supported by clear skies, light onshore flow, and seasonal warming typical of mid-May. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and global ensembles shows minimal cloud cover and temperatures rising above the climatological average of 66°F, creating strong trader alignment behind the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 94.5% implied probability. Minor adjustments remain possible from late-day marine layer development or small forecast shifts, though current conditions make sub-68°F readings unlikely without an unexpected cooling surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$758Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFORecent National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high of 68–72°F in San Francisco on May 18, supported by clear skies, light onshore flow, and seasonal warming typical of mid-May. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and global ensembles shows minimal cloud cover and temperatures rising above the climatological average of 66°F, creating strong trader alignment behind the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 94.5% implied probability. Minor adjustments remain possible from late-day marine layer development or small forecast shifts, though current conditions make sub-68°F readings unlikely without an unexpected cooling surge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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