Recent BMKG and global model runs place Jakarta’s May 18 daily maximum squarely between 33 °C and 34 °C, producing the near-even split in trader prices. Mid-May climatology shows mean highs of 33–35 °C under the early dry-season regime, with ENSO-neutral conditions and a strong urban heat-island effect anchoring the distribution around these values. Light cloud cover and scattered showers forecast for the 18th are expected to limit peak heating, while modest afternoon insolation could still push the mercury to 34 °C on any given run. Updated guidance from the 17th and 18th will refine the single-degree outcome ahead of official resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Джакарте 18 мая?
34°C 28%
33°C 27%
32°C 9%
35°C 9%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
9%
33°C
27%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C или выше
1%
34°C 28%
33°C 27%
32°C 9%
35°C 9%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
9%
33°C
27%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHRecent BMKG and global model runs place Jakarta’s May 18 daily maximum squarely between 33 °C and 34 °C, producing the near-even split in trader prices. Mid-May climatology shows mean highs of 33–35 °C under the early dry-season regime, with ENSO-neutral conditions and a strong urban heat-island effect anchoring the distribution around these values. Light cloud cover and scattered showers forecast for the 18th are expected to limit peak heating, while modest afternoon insolation could still push the mercury to 34 °C on any given run. Updated guidance from the 17th and 18th will refine the single-degree outcome ahead of official resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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