National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a daytime high well above 64°F for Chicago on May 17, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that favors readings near the climatological normal of 70.9°F at O’Hare International Airport. This atmospheric setup, supported by stable steering patterns over the Midwest, underpins the market’s near-certain consensus for the 64°F-or-higher outcome while reflecting historical May temperature distributions. Only an unforecast sharp cold-air intrusion or major model error could realistically produce a lower maximum, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and consistent guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 17 мая?
64°F или выше 99.6%
45°F или ниже <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$48,339 Объем
$48,339 Объем
45°F или ниже
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56–57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F или выше
100%
64°F или выше 99.6%
45°F или ниже <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$48,339 Объем
$48,339 Объем
45°F или ниже
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56–57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F или выше
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a daytime high well above 64°F for Chicago on May 17, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that favors readings near the climatological normal of 70.9°F at O’Hare International Airport. This atmospheric setup, supported by stable steering patterns over the Midwest, underpins the market’s near-certain consensus for the 64°F-or-higher outcome while reflecting historical May temperature distributions. Only an unforecast sharp cold-air intrusion or major model error could realistically produce a lower maximum, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and consistent guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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