Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 20 °C in Madrid on May 16, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge that produces mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. These conditions limit surface heating while overnight radiative cooling and modest moisture advection keep boundary-layer temperatures slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C. Model consensus clusters tightly around 19–21 °C, which aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20 °C at 61.5 percent and 21 °C at 22 percent. Traders appear to be weighting the latest high-resolution runs most heavily, with limited upside risk evident unless steering patterns shift before final observations are recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
20°C 63%
21°C 24%
19°C 15%
22°C 1.3%
$60,333 Объем
$60,333 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
15%
20°C
63%
21°C
24%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 63%
21°C 24%
19°C 15%
22°C 1.3%
$60,333 Объем
$60,333 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
17°C
$8,090 Объем
<1%
18°C
$8,335 Объем
<1%
19°C
$5,690 Объем
15%
20°C
$4,669 Объем
63%
21°C
$6,150 Объем
24%
22°C
$4,680 Объем
1%
23°C
$5,682 Объем
<1%
24°C
$5,102 Объем
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,355 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 20 °C in Madrid on May 16, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge that produces mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. These conditions limit surface heating while overnight radiative cooling and modest moisture advection keep boundary-layer temperatures slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C. Model consensus clusters tightly around 19–21 °C, which aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20 °C at 61.5 percent and 21 °C at 22 percent. Traders appear to be weighting the latest high-resolution runs most heavily, with limited upside risk evident unless steering patterns shift before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$60,333Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 20 °C in Madrid on May 16, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge that produces mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. These conditions limit surface heating while overnight radiative cooling and modest moisture advection keep boundary-layer temperatures slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C. Model consensus clusters tightly around 19–21 °C, which aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20 °C at 61.5 percent and 21 °C at 22 percent. Traders appear to be weighting the latest high-resolution runs most heavily, with limited upside risk evident unless steering patterns shift before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$60,333Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 20 °C in Madrid on May 16, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge that produces mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. These conditions limit surface heating while overnight radiative cooling and modest moisture advection keep boundary-layer temperatures slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C. Model consensus clusters tightly around 19–21 °C, which aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20 °C at 61.5 percent and 21 °C at 22 percent. Traders appear to be weighting the latest high-resolution runs most heavily, with limited upside risk evident unless steering patterns shift before final observations are recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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