Latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and global models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high around 24°C for May 16, with light rain and easterly winds at light breeze speeds capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and cooler air advection. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week—29°C observed on May 14 and around 30°C anticipated for May 15—marking a frontal shift typical of Beijing's spring variability amid early East Asian monsoon influences. Trader consensus, with 61.5% implied probability for 25°C or below, reflects strong model agreement, though 18.5% on 26°C accounts for potential clearing and 2–3°C forecast uncertainty; official measurements from Beijing's primary weather stations will resolve the market by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 16 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 16 мая?
25°C или ниже 66%
26°C 18%
27°C 14%
28°C 5%
$31,647 Объем
$31,647 Объем
25°C или ниже
66%
26°C
18%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
25°C или ниже 66%
26°C 18%
27°C 14%
28°C 5%
$31,647 Объем
$31,647 Объем
25°C или ниже
66%
26°C
18%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and global models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high around 24°C for May 16, with light rain and easterly winds at light breeze speeds capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and cooler air advection. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week—29°C observed on May 14 and around 30°C anticipated for May 15—marking a frontal shift typical of Beijing's spring variability amid early East Asian monsoon influences. Trader consensus, with 61.5% implied probability for 25°C or below, reflects strong model agreement, though 18.5% on 26°C accounts for potential clearing and 2–3°C forecast uncertainty; official measurements from Beijing's primary weather stations will resolve the market by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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