Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan today (99.6% implied probability), driven by the latest observational data and hourly forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather, which peg the peak at 84°F (29°C) amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 65-77%, and scattered afternoon showers limiting solar heating. Current readings already hit 84°F under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with China Meteorological Administration patterns showing yesterday's maximum at 29°C. Model consensus reflects suppressed insolation from overcast conditions typical in Wuhan's humid subtropical climate this time of year. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes above 30°C, though thundery showers and weakening daytime heating make this improbable as the day progresses toward evening resolution based on official station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 98.8%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$65,277 Объем
$65,277 Объем
29°C
99%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 98.8%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$65,277 Объем
$65,277 Объем
29°C
99%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan today (99.6% implied probability), driven by the latest observational data and hourly forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather, which peg the peak at 84°F (29°C) amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 65-77%, and scattered afternoon showers limiting solar heating. Current readings already hit 84°F under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with China Meteorological Administration patterns showing yesterday's maximum at 29°C. Model consensus reflects suppressed insolation from overcast conditions typical in Wuhan's humid subtropical climate this time of year. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes above 30°C, though thundery showers and weakening daytime heating make this improbable as the day progresses toward evening resolution based on official station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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