Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by Hong Kong Observatory observations showing morning peaks of 26.7°C at the Observatory station under 87% relative humidity, with maximums since midnight not exceeding that amid cloudy conditions and active thunderstorm warnings. A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, reinforced by a fresh easterly airstream, has capped heating potential through persistent showers and cloud cover, as confirmed in the Observatory's 16:30 HKT 9-day forecast update indicating similar 24–27°C ranges ahead. This aligns with climatological suppression during such synoptic patterns, well below May's typical 28–29°C highs. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing late afternoon enabling solar insolation to push readings to 28°C, though low solar angle and residual moisture make this unlikely; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 мая?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C или выше <1%
19°C или ниже <1%
$251,571 Объем
$251,571 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C или выше <1%
19°C или ниже <1%
$251,571 Объем
$251,571 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by Hong Kong Observatory observations showing morning peaks of 26.7°C at the Observatory station under 87% relative humidity, with maximums since midnight not exceeding that amid cloudy conditions and active thunderstorm warnings. A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, reinforced by a fresh easterly airstream, has capped heating potential through persistent showers and cloud cover, as confirmed in the Observatory's 16:30 HKT 9-day forecast update indicating similar 24–27°C ranges ahead. This aligns with climatological suppression during such synoptic patterns, well below May's typical 28–29°C highs. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing late afternoon enabling solar insolation to push readings to 28°C, though low solar angle and residual moisture make this unlikely; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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