Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,425 Объем
$54,425 Объем
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,425 Объем
$54,425 Объем
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы