National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate a daytime high near 75–77°F in New York City on May 16 under building high pressure and light southerly flow. This forecast anchors the closely matched leading outcomes at 76–77°F and 78–79°F, reflecting trader consensus on modest afternoon warming from a stable airmass. Slight model spread in maximum temperature arises from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds, with the potential for isolated cloud cover or brief sea-breeze effects keeping the exact peak within a narrow range. Historical May climatology shows similar setups typically produce highs within 2–3°F of guidance, and traders are monitoring the next model runs and surface observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 33%
80-81°F 12.7%
74-75°F 13%
$45,075 Объем
$45,075 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 33%
80-81°F 12.7%
74-75°F 13%
$45,075 Объем
$45,075 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
65°F or below
$2,673 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$3,024 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$3,410 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$3,065 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$5,849 Объем
3%
74-75°F
$6,464 Объем
13%
76-77°F
$4,183 Объем
33%
78-79°F
$4,189 Объем
34%
80-81°F
$5,150 Объем
13%
82-83°F
$3,587 Объем
4%
84°F or higher
$3,689 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate a daytime high near 75–77°F in New York City on May 16 under building high pressure and light southerly flow. This forecast anchors the closely matched leading outcomes at 76–77°F and 78–79°F, reflecting trader consensus on modest afternoon warming from a stable airmass. Slight model spread in maximum temperature arises from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds, with the potential for isolated cloud cover or brief sea-breeze effects keeping the exact peak within a narrow range. Historical May climatology shows similar setups typically produce highs within 2–3°F of guidance, and traders are monitoring the next model runs and surface observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$45,075Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate a daytime high near 75–77°F in New York City on May 16 under building high pressure and light southerly flow. This forecast anchors the closely matched leading outcomes at 76–77°F and 78–79°F, reflecting trader consensus on modest afternoon warming from a stable airmass. Slight model spread in maximum temperature arises from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds, with the potential for isolated cloud cover or brief sea-breeze effects keeping the exact peak within a narrow range. Historical May climatology shows similar setups typically produce highs within 2–3°F of guidance, and traders are monitoring the next model runs and surface observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$45,075Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate a daytime high near 75–77°F in New York City on May 16 under building high pressure and light southerly flow. This forecast anchors the closely matched leading outcomes at 76–77°F and 78–79°F, reflecting trader consensus on modest afternoon warming from a stable airmass. Slight model spread in maximum temperature arises from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds, with the potential for isolated cloud cover or brief sea-breeze effects keeping the exact peak within a narrow range. Historical May climatology shows similar setups typically produce highs within 2–3°F of guidance, and traders are monitoring the next model runs and surface observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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