Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models have converged on a 17°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on May 16, supported by a dominant high-pressure ridge that maintains clear skies and suppresses radiative cooling. This stable atmospheric pattern, typical for mid-May in the Kanto region, aligns with climatological baselines where overnight lows cluster near 15°C, allowing the market to price the 17°C outcome above 98%. Short-range numerical weather prediction accuracy within 24 hours reinforces this consensus. A late forecast shift introducing increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or an unexpected frontal passage could still nudge the measured low into the 16°C bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 16 мая?
17°C 99.4%
16°C 2.4%
14°C <1%
13°C или ниже <1%
$67,127 Объем
$67,127 Объем
13°C или ниже
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
17°C 99.4%
16°C 2.4%
14°C <1%
13°C или ниже <1%
$67,127 Объем
$67,127 Объем
13°C или ниже
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecast models have converged on a 17°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on May 16, supported by a dominant high-pressure ridge that maintains clear skies and suppresses radiative cooling. This stable atmospheric pattern, typical for mid-May in the Kanto region, aligns with climatological baselines where overnight lows cluster near 15°C, allowing the market to price the 17°C outcome above 98%. Short-range numerical weather prediction accuracy within 24 hours reinforces this consensus. A late forecast shift introducing increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or an unexpected frontal passage could still nudge the measured low into the 16°C bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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